The district's R+11 partisan voting index and consistent Republican performance anchor trader consensus on a strong GOP hold for the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Darin LaHood secured his party's nomination without opposition in the March primary after running unopposed in 2024, while Democrat Paul Nolley emerged as the sole general election challenger. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the rural northern Illinois seat's structural tilt, LaHood's name recognition, and lack of competitive primary dynamics or recent shifts in local conditions. A Democratic victory would require an unusually large national midterm wave, late-cycle developments such as a major scandal or health event, or turnout patterns that substantially exceed current expectations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertIL-16 Wahlsieger
IL-16 Wahlsieger
$38,378 Vol.
$38,378 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
94%
Demokratische Partei
7%
$38,378 Vol.
$38,378 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$15,407 Vol.
94%
Demokratische Partei
$22,971 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's R+11 partisan voting index and consistent Republican performance anchor trader consensus on a strong GOP hold for the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Darin LaHood secured his party's nomination without opposition in the March primary after running unopposed in 2024, while Democrat Paul Nolley emerged as the sole general election challenger. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the rural northern Illinois seat's structural tilt, LaHood's name recognition, and lack of competitive primary dynamics or recent shifts in local conditions. A Democratic victory would require an unusually large national midterm wave, late-cycle developments such as a major scandal or health event, or turnout patterns that substantially exceed current expectations.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$38,378Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's R+11 partisan voting index and consistent Republican performance anchor trader consensus on a strong GOP hold for the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Darin LaHood secured his party's nomination without opposition in the March primary after running unopposed in 2024, while Democrat Paul Nolley emerged as the sole general election challenger. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the rural northern Illinois seat's structural tilt, LaHood's name recognition, and lack of competitive primary dynamics or recent shifts in local conditions. A Democratic victory would require an unusually large national midterm wave, late-cycle developments such as a major scandal or health event, or turnout patterns that substantially exceed current expectations.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$38,378Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...The district's R+11 partisan voting index and consistent Republican performance anchor trader consensus on a strong GOP hold for the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Darin LaHood secured his party's nomination without opposition in the March primary after running unopposed in 2024, while Democrat Paul Nolley emerged as the sole general election challenger. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the rural northern Illinois seat's structural tilt, LaHood's name recognition, and lack of competitive primary dynamics or recent shifts in local conditions. A Democratic victory would require an unusually large national midterm wave, late-cycle developments such as a major scandal or health event, or turnout patterns that substantially exceed current expectations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen