The district’s D+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Democratic primary field anchor trader consensus on a party hold. Recent redistricting signed by Governor DeSantis shifted boundaries along the Palm Beach to Miami-Dade coast, prompting incumbent Debbie Wasserman Schultz and Jared Moskowitz to file there while progressive challenger Oliver Larkin entered with labor and grassroots endorsements. A May 5-6 Middle Seat poll showed a generic Democrat ahead by 12 points and Larkin leading both Republican primary contenders in head-to-head general-election matchups. With the August 18 primary still three months away and no major scandals or shifts in voter sentiment reported since the map’s adoption, the structural advantage and polling momentum continue to support Democratic odds near 63 percent.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertFL-25 Wahlsieger
$18,090 Vol.
$18,090 Vol.
Demokratische Partei
63%
Republikanische Partei
35%
$18,090 Vol.
$18,090 Vol.
Demokratische Partei
63%
Republikanische Partei
35%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district’s D+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Democratic primary field anchor trader consensus on a party hold. Recent redistricting signed by Governor DeSantis shifted boundaries along the Palm Beach to Miami-Dade coast, prompting incumbent Debbie Wasserman Schultz and Jared Moskowitz to file there while progressive challenger Oliver Larkin entered with labor and grassroots endorsements. A May 5-6 Middle Seat poll showed a generic Democrat ahead by 12 points and Larkin leading both Republican primary contenders in head-to-head general-election matchups. With the August 18 primary still three months away and no major scandals or shifts in voter sentiment reported since the map’s adoption, the structural advantage and polling momentum continue to support Democratic odds near 63 percent.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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