Wisconsin’s 4th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+26 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Gwen Moore, first elected in 2004 and reelected with roughly 75% of the vote in 2024, faces limited opposition heading into the August 11, 2026 Democratic primary and the November 3 general election. Republican primary candidate Purnima Nath has filed but shows minimal fundraising or visibility. Trader consensus on a Democratic win aligns with the district’s historical voting patterns and the absence of recent polling shifts or major campaign developments that would alter the balance. A surprise primary upset or late-breaking national wave could theoretically narrow margins, though structural factors continue to favor the incumbent party.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWI-04 Wahlsieger
WI-04 Wahlsieger
$23,465 Vol.
$23,465 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
94%
Republikanische Partei
3%
$23,465 Vol.
$23,465 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$6,364 Vol.
94%
Republikanische Partei
$17,101 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin’s 4th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+26 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Gwen Moore, first elected in 2004 and reelected with roughly 75% of the vote in 2024, faces limited opposition heading into the August 11, 2026 Democratic primary and the November 3 general election. Republican primary candidate Purnima Nath has filed but shows minimal fundraising or visibility. Trader consensus on a Democratic win aligns with the district’s historical voting patterns and the absence of recent polling shifts or major campaign developments that would alter the balance. A surprise primary upset or late-breaking national wave could theoretically narrow margins, though structural factors continue to favor the incumbent party.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$23,465Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin’s 4th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+26 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Gwen Moore, first elected in 2004 and reelected with roughly 75% of the vote in 2024, faces limited opposition heading into the August 11, 2026 Democratic primary and the November 3 general election. Republican primary candidate Purnima Nath has filed but shows minimal fundraising or visibility. Trader consensus on a Democratic win aligns with the district’s historical voting patterns and the absence of recent polling shifts or major campaign developments that would alter the balance. A surprise primary upset or late-breaking national wave could theoretically narrow margins, though structural factors continue to favor the incumbent party.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$23,465Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wisconsin’s 4th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+26 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Gwen Moore, first elected in 2004 and reelected with roughly 75% of the vote in 2024, faces limited opposition heading into the August 11, 2026 Democratic primary and the November 3 general election. Republican primary candidate Purnima Nath has filed but shows minimal fundraising or visibility. Trader consensus on a Democratic win aligns with the district’s historical voting patterns and the absence of recent polling shifts or major campaign developments that would alter the balance. A surprise primary upset or late-breaking national wave could theoretically narrow margins, though structural factors continue to favor the incumbent party.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen