Minnesota's 5th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+32 partisan voting index and consistent results where the Democratic nominee has captured over 74 percent of the general election vote in recent cycles. Incumbent Ilhan Omar secured the Democratic nomination path after forgoing a Senate bid and faces only limited primary opposition ahead of the August 11 contest, while the Republican primary field remains small with no well-funded challenger emerging. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with historical turnout patterns in the urban Minneapolis area and the absence of recent polling shifts or major campaign developments. Trader consensus on a Democratic victory aligns with these structural factors, though late primary surprises or unforeseen events could still influence the November 3 general election outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertMN-05 Wahlsieger
MN-05 Wahlsieger
$40,820 Vol.
$40,820 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
94%
Republikanische Partei
4%
$40,820 Vol.
$40,820 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$16,817 Vol.
94%
Republikanische Partei
$24,002 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 5th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+32 partisan voting index and consistent results where the Democratic nominee has captured over 74 percent of the general election vote in recent cycles. Incumbent Ilhan Omar secured the Democratic nomination path after forgoing a Senate bid and faces only limited primary opposition ahead of the August 11 contest, while the Republican primary field remains small with no well-funded challenger emerging. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with historical turnout patterns in the urban Minneapolis area and the absence of recent polling shifts or major campaign developments. Trader consensus on a Democratic victory aligns with these structural factors, though late primary surprises or unforeseen events could still influence the November 3 general election outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$40,820Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 5th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+32 partisan voting index and consistent results where the Democratic nominee has captured over 74 percent of the general election vote in recent cycles. Incumbent Ilhan Omar secured the Democratic nomination path after forgoing a Senate bid and faces only limited primary opposition ahead of the August 11 contest, while the Republican primary field remains small with no well-funded challenger emerging. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with historical turnout patterns in the urban Minneapolis area and the absence of recent polling shifts or major campaign developments. Trader consensus on a Democratic victory aligns with these structural factors, though late primary surprises or unforeseen events could still influence the November 3 general election outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$40,820Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's 5th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+32 partisan voting index and consistent results where the Democratic nominee has captured over 74 percent of the general election vote in recent cycles. Incumbent Ilhan Omar secured the Democratic nomination path after forgoing a Senate bid and faces only limited primary opposition ahead of the August 11 contest, while the Republican primary field remains small with no well-funded challenger emerging. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with historical turnout patterns in the urban Minneapolis area and the absence of recent polling shifts or major campaign developments. Trader consensus on a Democratic victory aligns with these structural factors, though late primary surprises or unforeseen events could still influence the November 3 general election outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen