Minnesota's 5th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+32 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Ilhan Omar secured the Democratic nomination in the August 11, 2026 primary with over 80 percent of the vote, advancing to face Republican nominee John Nagel in the November 3 general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district's urban Minneapolis core and voter base that has delivered large progressive majorities. Trader consensus at 97.7 percent for the Democratic Party aligns with this structural advantage. A shift would require an unprecedented event such as a late scandal, health development, or dramatic national realignment within the final weeks before Election Day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertMN-05 Wahlsieger
MN-05 Wahlsieger
$48,663 Vol.
$48,663 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
98%
Republikanische Partei
1%
$48,663 Vol.
$48,663 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$18,221 Vol.
98%
Republikanische Partei
$30,442 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 5th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+32 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Ilhan Omar secured the Democratic nomination in the August 11, 2026 primary with over 80 percent of the vote, advancing to face Republican nominee John Nagel in the November 3 general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district's urban Minneapolis core and voter base that has delivered large progressive majorities. Trader consensus at 97.7 percent for the Democratic Party aligns with this structural advantage. A shift would require an unprecedented event such as a late scandal, health development, or dramatic national realignment within the final weeks before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$48,663Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 5th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+32 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Ilhan Omar secured the Democratic nomination in the August 11, 2026 primary with over 80 percent of the vote, advancing to face Republican nominee John Nagel in the November 3 general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district's urban Minneapolis core and voter base that has delivered large progressive majorities. Trader consensus at 97.7 percent for the Democratic Party aligns with this structural advantage. A shift would require an unprecedented event such as a late scandal, health development, or dramatic national realignment within the final weeks before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$48,663Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's 5th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+32 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Ilhan Omar secured the Democratic nomination in the August 11, 2026 primary with over 80 percent of the vote, advancing to face Republican nominee John Nagel in the November 3 general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district's urban Minneapolis core and voter base that has delivered large progressive majorities. Trader consensus at 97.7 percent for the Democratic Party aligns with this structural advantage. A shift would require an unprecedented event such as a late scandal, health development, or dramatic national realignment within the final weeks before Election Day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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