Mississippi’s 4th congressional district carries a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Mike Ezell secured renomination with 84 percent in the March 2026 primary and faces Democratic nominee Jeffrey Hulum III in the November general election. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with the 2024 result in which Ezell prevailed by roughly 48 points. Trader consensus at 96.7 percent for the Republican nominee rests on these structural advantages and the absence of recent developments capable of narrowing the gap. A late scandal, health development, or unusually large national swing would be required to alter the outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertMS-04 Wahlsieger
MS-04 Wahlsieger
$40,205 Vol.
$40,205 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
97%
Demokratische Partei
3%
$40,205 Vol.
$40,205 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$25,125 Vol.
97%
Demokratische Partei
$15,080 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mississippi’s 4th congressional district carries a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Mike Ezell secured renomination with 84 percent in the March 2026 primary and faces Democratic nominee Jeffrey Hulum III in the November general election. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with the 2024 result in which Ezell prevailed by roughly 48 points. Trader consensus at 96.7 percent for the Republican nominee rests on these structural advantages and the absence of recent developments capable of narrowing the gap. A late scandal, health development, or unusually large national swing would be required to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$40,205Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mississippi’s 4th congressional district carries a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Mike Ezell secured renomination with 84 percent in the March 2026 primary and faces Democratic nominee Jeffrey Hulum III in the November general election. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with the 2024 result in which Ezell prevailed by roughly 48 points. Trader consensus at 96.7 percent for the Republican nominee rests on these structural advantages and the absence of recent developments capable of narrowing the gap. A late scandal, health development, or unusually large national swing would be required to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$40,205Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Mississippi’s 4th congressional district carries a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Mike Ezell secured renomination with 84 percent in the March 2026 primary and faces Democratic nominee Jeffrey Hulum III in the November general election. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with the 2024 result in which Ezell prevailed by roughly 48 points. Trader consensus at 96.7 percent for the Republican nominee rests on these structural advantages and the absence of recent developments capable of narrowing the gap. A late scandal, health development, or unusually large national swing would be required to alter the outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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