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Politik·Brasilien

Wahlsieger Gouverneur von Piauí

icon for Wahlsieger Gouverneur von Piauí
Politik·Brasilien

Wahlsieger Gouverneur von Piauí

Rafael Fonteles 81%

Lourdes Melo 31%

Joel Rodrigues 29%

Geraldo Carvalho 28%

Polymarket
NEU

Rafael Fonteles 81%

Lourdes Melo 31%

Joel Rodrigues 29%

Geraldo Carvalho 28%

Polymarket
NEU
icon for Rafael Fonteles

Rafael Fonteles

$512 Vol.

81%

icon for Lourdes Melo

Lourdes Melo

$81 Vol.

31%

icon for Joel Rodrigues

Joel Rodrigues

$81 Vol.

29%

icon for Geraldo Carvalho

Geraldo Carvalho

$81 Vol.

28%

icon for Professor Jurity

Professor Jurity

$81 Vol.

19%

icon for Ravenna da Inclusão

Ravenna da Inclusão

$81 Vol.

19%

icon for Elizeu Aguiar

Elizeu Aguiar

$81 Vol.

18%

icon for Dra. Lúcia Santos

Dra. Lúcia Santos

$81 Vol.

18%

icon for Santiago Belizário

Santiago Belizário

$81 Vol.

13%

icon for Professor Gisvaldo

Professor Gisvaldo

$81 Vol.

10%

icon for Gustavo Feijó

Gustavo Feijó

$81 Vol.

3%

The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Piauí gubernatorial race, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field ahead of the October 2026 first-round vote, with Rafael Fonteles holding a narrow edge at 49.5% amid multiple candidates clustered lower. As the incumbent PT governor seeking re-election, Fonteles benefits from established name recognition and recent polling leads exceeding 60%, yet the market pricing suggests uncertainty over opposition consolidation and potential runoff dynamics. Recent Atlas/Meio Norte surveys highlight Joel Rodrigues and others trailing significantly, but late shifts in alliances, turnout among key regional blocs, or campaign momentum could alter probabilities before the election. Scheduled debates and primary developments through September remain key catalysts that may widen or narrow these gaps.

The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$1,319
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Piauí gubernatorial race, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field ahead of the October 2026 first-round vote, with Rafael Fonteles holding a narrow edge at 49.5% amid multiple candidates clustered lower. As the incumbent PT governor seeking re-election, Fonteles benefits from established name recognition and recent polling leads exceeding 60%, yet the market pricing suggests uncertainty over opposition consolidation and potential runoff dynamics. Recent Atlas/Meio Norte surveys highlight Joel Rodrigues and others trailing significantly, but late shifts in alliances, turnout among key regional blocs, or campaign momentum could alter probabilities before the election. Scheduled debates and primary developments through September remain key catalysts that may widen or narrow these gaps.

The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$1,319
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Verwandte

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Wird Lucas Ribeiro die Gouverneurswahl in Paraíba gewinnen?

75%
Ja
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Wird Sergio Moro die Gouverneurswahl in Paraná gewinnen?

87%
Ja
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97%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wahlsieger Gouverneur von Piauí" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 11 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Rafael Fonteles" mit 81%, gefolgt von „Lourdes Melo" mit 32%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 81¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 81% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Wahlsieger Gouverneur von Piauí" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 17, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Wahlsieger Gouverneur von Piauí" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 11 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wahlsieger Gouverneur von Piauí" ist „Rafael Fonteles" mit 81%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 81% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Lourdes Melo" mit 32%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Wahlsieger Gouverneur von Piauí" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.