Bennie Thompson, the long-serving Democratic incumbent in Mississippi’s 2nd congressional district, secured his party’s nomination with more than 86 percent of the primary vote in March, while Republican nominee Ron Eller advanced after a close primary contest. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 partisan voting index and consistent margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, continues to anchor trader expectations for a Democratic hold in the November general election. With no major shifts in candidate positioning or external events since the primaries, the current 85.5 percent implied probability for Democrats aligns with the seat’s structural advantages and the absence of competitive factors that could alter the outcome before election day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertMS-02 Wahlsieger
MS-02 Wahlsieger
$24,065 Vol.
$24,065 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
86%
Republikanische Partei
16%
$24,065 Vol.
$24,065 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$12,785 Vol.
86%
Republikanische Partei
$11,280 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bennie Thompson, the long-serving Democratic incumbent in Mississippi’s 2nd congressional district, secured his party’s nomination with more than 86 percent of the primary vote in March, while Republican nominee Ron Eller advanced after a close primary contest. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 partisan voting index and consistent margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, continues to anchor trader expectations for a Democratic hold in the November general election. With no major shifts in candidate positioning or external events since the primaries, the current 85.5 percent implied probability for Democrats aligns with the seat’s structural advantages and the absence of competitive factors that could alter the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$24,065Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bennie Thompson, the long-serving Democratic incumbent in Mississippi’s 2nd congressional district, secured his party’s nomination with more than 86 percent of the primary vote in March, while Republican nominee Ron Eller advanced after a close primary contest. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 partisan voting index and consistent margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, continues to anchor trader expectations for a Democratic hold in the November general election. With no major shifts in candidate positioning or external events since the primaries, the current 85.5 percent implied probability for Democrats aligns with the seat’s structural advantages and the absence of competitive factors that could alter the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$24,065Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Bennie Thompson, the long-serving Democratic incumbent in Mississippi’s 2nd congressional district, secured his party’s nomination with more than 86 percent of the primary vote in March, while Republican nominee Ron Eller advanced after a close primary contest. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 partisan voting index and consistent margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, continues to anchor trader expectations for a Democratic hold in the November general election. With no major shifts in candidate positioning or external events since the primaries, the current 85.5 percent implied probability for Democrats aligns with the seat’s structural advantages and the absence of competitive factors that could alter the outcome before election day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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