Incumbent Republican Bill Huizenga holds a modest edge in Michigan’s 4th Congressional District, a Republican-leaning seat with a Cook PVI around R+3, where he won reelection by double digits in 2024. Trader consensus at 55.5% for Huizenga versus 43.5% for Democrat Sean McCann reflects the district’s partisan baseline and the incumbent’s established fundraising and name recognition. Both candidates cleared their August 4 primaries comfortably, clearing the field for a November 3 general election contest. McCann’s stronger Q1 fundraising and a June internal poll showing him narrowly ahead have kept the race within striking distance, prompting race raters to classify it as Lean Republican. No major late-breaking events have shifted the fundamentals since the primaries, though ongoing campaign spending and voter turnout in key counties such as Ottawa and Kalamazoo remain central variables.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNEU
NEU
3. Nov. 2026
Bill Huizenga (R)
56%
Sean McCann (D)
44%
NEU
NEU
3. Nov. 2026
Bill Huizenga (R)
$3,395 Vol.
56%
Sean McCann (D)
$4,461 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Bill Huizenga holds a modest edge in Michigan’s 4th Congressional District, a Republican-leaning seat with a Cook PVI around R+3, where he won reelection by double digits in 2024. Trader consensus at 55.5% for Huizenga versus 43.5% for Democrat Sean McCann reflects the district’s partisan baseline and the incumbent’s established fundraising and name recognition. Both candidates cleared their August 4 primaries comfortably, clearing the field for a November 3 general election contest. McCann’s stronger Q1 fundraising and a June internal poll showing him narrowly ahead have kept the race within striking distance, prompting race raters to classify it as Lean Republican. No major late-breaking events have shifted the fundamentals since the primaries, though ongoing campaign spending and voter turnout in key counties such as Ottawa and Kalamazoo remain central variables.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
Volumen
$7,855Enddatum
4. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Bill Huizenga holds a modest edge in Michigan’s 4th Congressional District, a Republican-leaning seat with a Cook PVI around R+3, where he won reelection by double digits in 2024. Trader consensus at 55.5% for Huizenga versus 43.5% for Democrat Sean McCann reflects the district’s partisan baseline and the incumbent’s established fundraising and name recognition. Both candidates cleared their August 4 primaries comfortably, clearing the field for a November 3 general election contest. McCann’s stronger Q1 fundraising and a June internal poll showing him narrowly ahead have kept the race within striking distance, prompting race raters to classify it as Lean Republican. No major late-breaking events have shifted the fundamentals since the primaries, though ongoing campaign spending and voter turnout in key counties such as Ottawa and Kalamazoo remain central variables.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$7,855Enddatum
4. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Bill Huizenga holds a modest edge in Michigan’s 4th Congressional District, a Republican-leaning seat with a Cook PVI around R+3, where he won reelection by double digits in 2024. Trader consensus at 55.5% for Huizenga versus 43.5% for Democrat Sean McCann reflects the district’s partisan baseline and the incumbent’s established fundraising and name recognition. Both candidates cleared their August 4 primaries comfortably, clearing the field for a November 3 general election contest. McCann’s stronger Q1 fundraising and a June internal poll showing him narrowly ahead have kept the race within striking distance, prompting race raters to classify it as Lean Republican. No major late-breaking events have shifted the fundamentals since the primaries, though ongoing campaign spending and voter turnout in key counties such as Ottawa and Kalamazoo remain central variables.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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