Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District, anchored in the Tulsa metro area with an R+11 partisan voting index, has delivered consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles. The open seat created by incumbent Kevin Hern’s Senate bid drew a crowded Republican primary that resolved in favor of state Representative Mark Tedford, who now faces Democrat John Croisant, a Tulsa Public Schools board member who advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s structural advantages and limited Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus at 90.5% for the Republican Party aligns with these fundamentals and historical base rates for similar seats. A meaningful shift would require either a major scandal involving the Republican nominee or an unusually strong national Democratic performance between now and the November 3 general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertOK-01 Wahlsieger
OK-01 Wahlsieger
$25,122 Vol.
$25,122 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
91%
Demokratische Partei
9%
$25,122 Vol.
$25,122 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$13,268 Vol.
91%
Demokratische Partei
$11,854 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District, anchored in the Tulsa metro area with an R+11 partisan voting index, has delivered consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles. The open seat created by incumbent Kevin Hern’s Senate bid drew a crowded Republican primary that resolved in favor of state Representative Mark Tedford, who now faces Democrat John Croisant, a Tulsa Public Schools board member who advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s structural advantages and limited Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus at 90.5% for the Republican Party aligns with these fundamentals and historical base rates for similar seats. A meaningful shift would require either a major scandal involving the Republican nominee or an unusually strong national Democratic performance between now and the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$25,122Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District, anchored in the Tulsa metro area with an R+11 partisan voting index, has delivered consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles. The open seat created by incumbent Kevin Hern’s Senate bid drew a crowded Republican primary that resolved in favor of state Representative Mark Tedford, who now faces Democrat John Croisant, a Tulsa Public Schools board member who advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s structural advantages and limited Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus at 90.5% for the Republican Party aligns with these fundamentals and historical base rates for similar seats. A meaningful shift would require either a major scandal involving the Republican nominee or an unusually strong national Democratic performance between now and the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$25,122Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District, anchored in the Tulsa metro area with an R+11 partisan voting index, has delivered consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles. The open seat created by incumbent Kevin Hern’s Senate bid drew a crowded Republican primary that resolved in favor of state Representative Mark Tedford, who now faces Democrat John Croisant, a Tulsa Public Schools board member who advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s structural advantages and limited Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus at 90.5% for the Republican Party aligns with these fundamentals and historical base rates for similar seats. A meaningful shift would require either a major scandal involving the Republican nominee or an unusually strong national Democratic performance between now and the November 3 general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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