Republican incumbent Tracey Mann holds a commanding position in the KS-01 race due to the district's entrenched conservative electorate across its expansive rural counties and the Cook Political Report's Solid Republican rating, consistent with Mann's 69.1% general election margin in 2024. The sprawling district, which includes areas like Manhattan, Salina, and Dodge City, has delivered double-digit Republican advantages in recent cycles, reinforced by its R+16 partisan voting index. With the August 4 primary featuring only a minor intraparty challenge and the general election on November 3, trader consensus aligns with historical base rates for safe seats of this type. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen scandal, primary upset producing a damaged nominee, or an unprecedented national Democratic surge capable of overcoming the structural partisan gap.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertKS-01 Wahlsieger
KS-01 Wahlsieger
$14,726 Vol.
$14,726 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
94%
Demokratische Partei
7%
$14,726 Vol.
$14,726 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$4,724 Vol.
94%
Demokratische Partei
$10,002 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Tracey Mann holds a commanding position in the KS-01 race due to the district's entrenched conservative electorate across its expansive rural counties and the Cook Political Report's Solid Republican rating, consistent with Mann's 69.1% general election margin in 2024. The sprawling district, which includes areas like Manhattan, Salina, and Dodge City, has delivered double-digit Republican advantages in recent cycles, reinforced by its R+16 partisan voting index. With the August 4 primary featuring only a minor intraparty challenge and the general election on November 3, trader consensus aligns with historical base rates for safe seats of this type. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen scandal, primary upset producing a damaged nominee, or an unprecedented national Democratic surge capable of overcoming the structural partisan gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$14,726Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Tracey Mann holds a commanding position in the KS-01 race due to the district's entrenched conservative electorate across its expansive rural counties and the Cook Political Report's Solid Republican rating, consistent with Mann's 69.1% general election margin in 2024. The sprawling district, which includes areas like Manhattan, Salina, and Dodge City, has delivered double-digit Republican advantages in recent cycles, reinforced by its R+16 partisan voting index. With the August 4 primary featuring only a minor intraparty challenge and the general election on November 3, trader consensus aligns with historical base rates for safe seats of this type. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen scandal, primary upset producing a damaged nominee, or an unprecedented national Democratic surge capable of overcoming the structural partisan gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$14,726Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Tracey Mann holds a commanding position in the KS-01 race due to the district's entrenched conservative electorate across its expansive rural counties and the Cook Political Report's Solid Republican rating, consistent with Mann's 69.1% general election margin in 2024. The sprawling district, which includes areas like Manhattan, Salina, and Dodge City, has delivered double-digit Republican advantages in recent cycles, reinforced by its R+16 partisan voting index. With the August 4 primary featuring only a minor intraparty challenge and the general election on November 3, trader consensus aligns with historical base rates for safe seats of this type. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen scandal, primary upset producing a damaged nominee, or an unprecedented national Democratic surge capable of overcoming the structural partisan gap.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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