Arizona's 5th congressional district maintains a consistent Republican lean, reflected in the prior cycle's 21-point margin and current forecasts projecting a Republican vote share near 57 percent. The July 2026 primary produced GOP nominee Mark Lamb and Democratic nominee Elizabeth Lee for the November general election in this southeast Phoenix suburban area covering parts of Maricopa and Pinal counties. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican, citing structural advantages that have held through multiple cycles. Trader consensus at 91.5 percent Republican probability aligns with these patterns. Late shifts could arise from unusually high Democratic turnout, national headwinds for the president's party, or sustained focus on Lamb's personal controversies narrowing the margin, though the district's baseline composition limits the scope for an upset.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertAZ-05 Wahlsieger
AZ-05 Wahlsieger
$36,256 Vol.
$36,256 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
92%
Demokratische Partei
9%
$36,256 Vol.
$36,256 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$20,782 Vol.
92%
Demokratische Partei
$15,473 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 5th congressional district maintains a consistent Republican lean, reflected in the prior cycle's 21-point margin and current forecasts projecting a Republican vote share near 57 percent. The July 2026 primary produced GOP nominee Mark Lamb and Democratic nominee Elizabeth Lee for the November general election in this southeast Phoenix suburban area covering parts of Maricopa and Pinal counties. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican, citing structural advantages that have held through multiple cycles. Trader consensus at 91.5 percent Republican probability aligns with these patterns. Late shifts could arise from unusually high Democratic turnout, national headwinds for the president's party, or sustained focus on Lamb's personal controversies narrowing the margin, though the district's baseline composition limits the scope for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volumen
$36,256Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 5th congressional district maintains a consistent Republican lean, reflected in the prior cycle's 21-point margin and current forecasts projecting a Republican vote share near 57 percent. The July 2026 primary produced GOP nominee Mark Lamb and Democratic nominee Elizabeth Lee for the November general election in this southeast Phoenix suburban area covering parts of Maricopa and Pinal counties. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican, citing structural advantages that have held through multiple cycles. Trader consensus at 91.5 percent Republican probability aligns with these patterns. Late shifts could arise from unusually high Democratic turnout, national headwinds for the president's party, or sustained focus on Lamb's personal controversies narrowing the margin, though the district's baseline composition limits the scope for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$36,256Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona's 5th congressional district maintains a consistent Republican lean, reflected in the prior cycle's 21-point margin and current forecasts projecting a Republican vote share near 57 percent. The July 2026 primary produced GOP nominee Mark Lamb and Democratic nominee Elizabeth Lee for the November general election in this southeast Phoenix suburban area covering parts of Maricopa and Pinal counties. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican, citing structural advantages that have held through multiple cycles. Trader consensus at 91.5 percent Republican probability aligns with these patterns. Late shifts could arise from unusually high Democratic turnout, national headwinds for the president's party, or sustained focus on Lamb's personal controversies narrowing the margin, though the district's baseline composition limits the scope for an upset.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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