Arizona’s 5th congressional district, covering East Valley suburbs including parts of Gilbert, Chandler, and Queen Creek, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10 and has delivered consistent Republican margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Andy Biggs’s decision to run for governor created an open seat, but the July 2026 primaries produced Republican nominee Mark Lamb and Democratic nominee Elizabeth Lee, leaving the general election contest on November 3 structurally tilted toward the GOP. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, and trader consensus at 91.5% reflects the district’s partisan baseline, Lamb’s primary victory, and limited Democratic infrastructure. A Democratic upset would require an unusually strong national environment or late-cycle disruption capable of overcoming the seat’s established voting patterns.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertAZ-05 Wahlsieger
AZ-05 Wahlsieger
$36,226 Vol.
$36,226 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
92%
Demokratische Partei
9%
$36,226 Vol.
$36,226 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$20,752 Vol.
92%
Demokratische Partei
$15,473 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona’s 5th congressional district, covering East Valley suburbs including parts of Gilbert, Chandler, and Queen Creek, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10 and has delivered consistent Republican margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Andy Biggs’s decision to run for governor created an open seat, but the July 2026 primaries produced Republican nominee Mark Lamb and Democratic nominee Elizabeth Lee, leaving the general election contest on November 3 structurally tilted toward the GOP. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, and trader consensus at 91.5% reflects the district’s partisan baseline, Lamb’s primary victory, and limited Democratic infrastructure. A Democratic upset would require an unusually strong national environment or late-cycle disruption capable of overcoming the seat’s established voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volumen
$36,226Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona’s 5th congressional district, covering East Valley suburbs including parts of Gilbert, Chandler, and Queen Creek, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10 and has delivered consistent Republican margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Andy Biggs’s decision to run for governor created an open seat, but the July 2026 primaries produced Republican nominee Mark Lamb and Democratic nominee Elizabeth Lee, leaving the general election contest on November 3 structurally tilted toward the GOP. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, and trader consensus at 91.5% reflects the district’s partisan baseline, Lamb’s primary victory, and limited Democratic infrastructure. A Democratic upset would require an unusually strong national environment or late-cycle disruption capable of overcoming the seat’s established voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$36,226Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona’s 5th congressional district, covering East Valley suburbs including parts of Gilbert, Chandler, and Queen Creek, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10 and has delivered consistent Republican margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Andy Biggs’s decision to run for governor created an open seat, but the July 2026 primaries produced Republican nominee Mark Lamb and Democratic nominee Elizabeth Lee, leaving the general election contest on November 3 structurally tilted toward the GOP. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, and trader consensus at 91.5% reflects the district’s partisan baseline, Lamb’s primary victory, and limited Democratic infrastructure. A Democratic upset would require an unusually strong national environment or late-cycle disruption capable of overcoming the seat’s established voting patterns.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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