Maryland's 1st congressional district remains a Republican-leaning seat held by incumbent Representative Andy Harris since 2011. Harris secured the GOP nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 80 percent of the vote against a single challenger. Democrat Dan Schwartz advanced from a competitive four-candidate primary with 46 percent. Earlier Democratic efforts to redraw the district map through the state legislature stalled in early 2026. Historical results, including Harris's 59 percent victory in 2024, underpin trader pricing that assigns the Republican nominee an implied probability above 85 percent ahead of the November general election. No major new polling or campaign developments have emerged since the primaries to alter that positioning.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertMD-01 Wahlsieger
MD-01 Wahlsieger
$34,576 Vol.
$34,576 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
87%
Demokratische Partei
14%
$34,576 Vol.
$34,576 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$19,519 Vol.
87%
Demokratische Partei
$15,057 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 1st congressional district remains a Republican-leaning seat held by incumbent Representative Andy Harris since 2011. Harris secured the GOP nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 80 percent of the vote against a single challenger. Democrat Dan Schwartz advanced from a competitive four-candidate primary with 46 percent. Earlier Democratic efforts to redraw the district map through the state legislature stalled in early 2026. Historical results, including Harris's 59 percent victory in 2024, underpin trader pricing that assigns the Republican nominee an implied probability above 85 percent ahead of the November general election. No major new polling or campaign developments have emerged since the primaries to alter that positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$34,576Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 1st congressional district remains a Republican-leaning seat held by incumbent Representative Andy Harris since 2011. Harris secured the GOP nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 80 percent of the vote against a single challenger. Democrat Dan Schwartz advanced from a competitive four-candidate primary with 46 percent. Earlier Democratic efforts to redraw the district map through the state legislature stalled in early 2026. Historical results, including Harris's 59 percent victory in 2024, underpin trader pricing that assigns the Republican nominee an implied probability above 85 percent ahead of the November general election. No major new polling or campaign developments have emerged since the primaries to alter that positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$34,576Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 1st congressional district remains a Republican-leaning seat held by incumbent Representative Andy Harris since 2011. Harris secured the GOP nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 80 percent of the vote against a single challenger. Democrat Dan Schwartz advanced from a competitive four-candidate primary with 46 percent. Earlier Democratic efforts to redraw the district map through the state legislature stalled in early 2026. Historical results, including Harris's 59 percent victory in 2024, underpin trader pricing that assigns the Republican nominee an implied probability above 85 percent ahead of the November general election. No major new polling or campaign developments have emerged since the primaries to alter that positioning.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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