Incumbent Republican Nicholas Langworthy holds a strong position in New York’s 23rd congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election. The seat carries an R+10 partisan voter index and has favored Republicans in recent cycles, including a 21-point Trump margin in 2024. Langworthy advanced unopposed through the June Republican primary while raising over $2.3 million, compared with roughly $227,000 for Democratic nominee Aaron Gies, who won his June primary but faces structural disadvantages in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Trader consensus at 91.5% for the Republican reflects these baseline advantages and the absence of major shifts since the primaries. A significant scandal, sharp national swing toward Democrats, or unusually elevated Democratic turnout could still narrow the outcome before Election Day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNY-23 Wahlsieger
NY-23 Wahlsieger
$24,448 Vol.
$24,448 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
92%
Demokratische Partei
9%
$24,448 Vol.
$24,448 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$11,070 Vol.
92%
Demokratische Partei
$13,378 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nicholas Langworthy holds a strong position in New York’s 23rd congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election. The seat carries an R+10 partisan voter index and has favored Republicans in recent cycles, including a 21-point Trump margin in 2024. Langworthy advanced unopposed through the June Republican primary while raising over $2.3 million, compared with roughly $227,000 for Democratic nominee Aaron Gies, who won his June primary but faces structural disadvantages in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Trader consensus at 91.5% for the Republican reflects these baseline advantages and the absence of major shifts since the primaries. A significant scandal, sharp national swing toward Democrats, or unusually elevated Democratic turnout could still narrow the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$24,448Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nicholas Langworthy holds a strong position in New York’s 23rd congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election. The seat carries an R+10 partisan voter index and has favored Republicans in recent cycles, including a 21-point Trump margin in 2024. Langworthy advanced unopposed through the June Republican primary while raising over $2.3 million, compared with roughly $227,000 for Democratic nominee Aaron Gies, who won his June primary but faces structural disadvantages in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Trader consensus at 91.5% for the Republican reflects these baseline advantages and the absence of major shifts since the primaries. A significant scandal, sharp national swing toward Democrats, or unusually elevated Democratic turnout could still narrow the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$24,448Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nicholas Langworthy holds a strong position in New York’s 23rd congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election. The seat carries an R+10 partisan voter index and has favored Republicans in recent cycles, including a 21-point Trump margin in 2024. Langworthy advanced unopposed through the June Republican primary while raising over $2.3 million, compared with roughly $227,000 for Democratic nominee Aaron Gies, who won his June primary but faces structural disadvantages in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Trader consensus at 91.5% for the Republican reflects these baseline advantages and the absence of major shifts since the primaries. A significant scandal, sharp national swing toward Democrats, or unusually elevated Democratic turnout could still narrow the outcome before Election Day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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