Republican incumbent Claudia Tenney holds a strong position in New York’s 24th congressional district, a rural area along Lake Ontario with a consistent Republican lean reflected in her 2024 reelection margin exceeding 30 points. The Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Republican, citing voter enrollment patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. Tenney advanced unopposed through the Republican primary after it was canceled, while Democratic contenders including Alissa Ellman remain early in their efforts ahead of the June 23 primary. No major recent events have altered the baseline dynamics, leaving trader consensus on a Republican outcome aligned with the district’s structural advantages and historical results in similar upstate contests.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNY-24 Wahlsieger
NY-24 Wahlsieger
NEU
NEU
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
84%
Demokratische Partei
17%
NEU
NEU
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$2,073 Vol.
84%
Demokratische Partei
$1,881 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Claudia Tenney holds a strong position in New York’s 24th congressional district, a rural area along Lake Ontario with a consistent Republican lean reflected in her 2024 reelection margin exceeding 30 points. The Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Republican, citing voter enrollment patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. Tenney advanced unopposed through the Republican primary after it was canceled, while Democratic contenders including Alissa Ellman remain early in their efforts ahead of the June 23 primary. No major recent events have altered the baseline dynamics, leaving trader consensus on a Republican outcome aligned with the district’s structural advantages and historical results in similar upstate contests.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$3,954Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Claudia Tenney holds a strong position in New York’s 24th congressional district, a rural area along Lake Ontario with a consistent Republican lean reflected in her 2024 reelection margin exceeding 30 points. The Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Republican, citing voter enrollment patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. Tenney advanced unopposed through the Republican primary after it was canceled, while Democratic contenders including Alissa Ellman remain early in their efforts ahead of the June 23 primary. No major recent events have altered the baseline dynamics, leaving trader consensus on a Republican outcome aligned with the district’s structural advantages and historical results in similar upstate contests.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$3,954Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Claudia Tenney holds a strong position in New York’s 24th congressional district, a rural area along Lake Ontario with a consistent Republican lean reflected in her 2024 reelection margin exceeding 30 points. The Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Republican, citing voter enrollment patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. Tenney advanced unopposed through the Republican primary after it was canceled, while Democratic contenders including Alissa Ellman remain early in their efforts ahead of the June 23 primary. No major recent events have altered the baseline dynamics, leaving trader consensus on a Republican outcome aligned with the district’s structural advantages and historical results in similar upstate contests.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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