Democratic Rep. Joseph Morelle’s strong position in New York’s 25th District stems from its consistent Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+10 and Morelle’s 60.8% re-election margin in 2024. The Rochester-area seat has favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, with nonpartisan analysts rating the general election Solid Democratic ahead of the November 2026 vote. Traders’ heavy weighting toward the Democratic nominee aligns with this structural advantage and the limited Republican field, including presumptive nominee Virginia McIntyre. A Democratic primary on June 23 could introduce limited uncertainty, though the incumbent remains favored. Broader national shifts or unexpected turnout changes would be required to alter the current consensus in any meaningful way.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNY-25 Wahlsieger
NY-25 Wahlsieger
$25,076 Vol.
$25,076 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
94%
Republikanische Partei
4%
$25,076 Vol.
$25,076 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$14,992 Vol.
94%
Republikanische Partei
$10,085 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic Rep. Joseph Morelle’s strong position in New York’s 25th District stems from its consistent Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+10 and Morelle’s 60.8% re-election margin in 2024. The Rochester-area seat has favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, with nonpartisan analysts rating the general election Solid Democratic ahead of the November 2026 vote. Traders’ heavy weighting toward the Democratic nominee aligns with this structural advantage and the limited Republican field, including presumptive nominee Virginia McIntyre. A Democratic primary on June 23 could introduce limited uncertainty, though the incumbent remains favored. Broader national shifts or unexpected turnout changes would be required to alter the current consensus in any meaningful way.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$25,076Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic Rep. Joseph Morelle’s strong position in New York’s 25th District stems from its consistent Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+10 and Morelle’s 60.8% re-election margin in 2024. The Rochester-area seat has favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, with nonpartisan analysts rating the general election Solid Democratic ahead of the November 2026 vote. Traders’ heavy weighting toward the Democratic nominee aligns with this structural advantage and the limited Republican field, including presumptive nominee Virginia McIntyre. A Democratic primary on June 23 could introduce limited uncertainty, though the incumbent remains favored. Broader national shifts or unexpected turnout changes would be required to alter the current consensus in any meaningful way.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$25,076Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic Rep. Joseph Morelle’s strong position in New York’s 25th District stems from its consistent Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+10 and Morelle’s 60.8% re-election margin in 2024. The Rochester-area seat has favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, with nonpartisan analysts rating the general election Solid Democratic ahead of the November 2026 vote. Traders’ heavy weighting toward the Democratic nominee aligns with this structural advantage and the limited Republican field, including presumptive nominee Virginia McIntyre. A Democratic primary on June 23 could introduce limited uncertainty, though the incumbent remains favored. Broader national shifts or unexpected turnout changes would be required to alter the current consensus in any meaningful way.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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