The Democratic nominee holds a commanding position in New York’s 25th congressional district due to its D+10 Partisan Voter Index, established voting patterns favoring Democrats, and the strong performance of incumbent Representative Joseph Morelle, who secured 60.8% in 2024. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November general election, with the June 23 primary unlikely to alter the general-election trajectory. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors and historical results in the Rochester-centered district. A Republican victory would require an unusually strong national midterm environment or major local disruption capable of overcoming the district’s consistent partisan margin.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNY-25 Wahlsieger
NY-25 Wahlsieger
$25,090 Vol.
$25,090 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
94%
Republikanische Partei
4%
$25,090 Vol.
$25,090 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$14,992 Vol.
94%
Republikanische Partei
$10,098 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee holds a commanding position in New York’s 25th congressional district due to its D+10 Partisan Voter Index, established voting patterns favoring Democrats, and the strong performance of incumbent Representative Joseph Morelle, who secured 60.8% in 2024. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November general election, with the June 23 primary unlikely to alter the general-election trajectory. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors and historical results in the Rochester-centered district. A Republican victory would require an unusually strong national midterm environment or major local disruption capable of overcoming the district’s consistent partisan margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$25,090Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee holds a commanding position in New York’s 25th congressional district due to its D+10 Partisan Voter Index, established voting patterns favoring Democrats, and the strong performance of incumbent Representative Joseph Morelle, who secured 60.8% in 2024. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November general election, with the June 23 primary unlikely to alter the general-election trajectory. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors and historical results in the Rochester-centered district. A Republican victory would require an unusually strong national midterm environment or major local disruption capable of overcoming the district’s consistent partisan margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$25,090Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic nominee holds a commanding position in New York’s 25th congressional district due to its D+10 Partisan Voter Index, established voting patterns favoring Democrats, and the strong performance of incumbent Representative Joseph Morelle, who secured 60.8% in 2024. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November general election, with the June 23 primary unlikely to alter the general-election trajectory. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors and historical results in the Rochester-centered district. A Republican victory would require an unusually strong national midterm environment or major local disruption capable of overcoming the district’s consistent partisan margin.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen