The Democratic nominee, incumbent Representative Tim Kennedy, holds a commanding position in New York’s 26th congressional district due to the seat’s consistent partisan lean, reflected in its D+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent’s 65 percent margin in 2024. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. With primaries largely uncontested and no major recent developments altering the balance, traders see limited path for the Republican nominee Dennis Hannon. A late national political shift, unexpected scandal, or unusually strong turnout surge could narrow the gap, though the district’s urban Buffalo-Niagara Falls base has favored Democrats in recent cycles.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNY-26 Wahlsieger
NY-26 Wahlsieger
$24,819 Vol.
$24,819 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
92%
Republikanische Partei
10%
$24,819 Vol.
$24,819 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$13,225 Vol.
92%
Republikanische Partei
$11,595 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee, incumbent Representative Tim Kennedy, holds a commanding position in New York’s 26th congressional district due to the seat’s consistent partisan lean, reflected in its D+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent’s 65 percent margin in 2024. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. With primaries largely uncontested and no major recent developments altering the balance, traders see limited path for the Republican nominee Dennis Hannon. A late national political shift, unexpected scandal, or unusually strong turnout surge could narrow the gap, though the district’s urban Buffalo-Niagara Falls base has favored Democrats in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$24,819Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee, incumbent Representative Tim Kennedy, holds a commanding position in New York’s 26th congressional district due to the seat’s consistent partisan lean, reflected in its D+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent’s 65 percent margin in 2024. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. With primaries largely uncontested and no major recent developments altering the balance, traders see limited path for the Republican nominee Dennis Hannon. A late national political shift, unexpected scandal, or unusually strong turnout surge could narrow the gap, though the district’s urban Buffalo-Niagara Falls base has favored Democrats in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$24,819Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic nominee, incumbent Representative Tim Kennedy, holds a commanding position in New York’s 26th congressional district due to the seat’s consistent partisan lean, reflected in its D+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent’s 65 percent margin in 2024. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. With primaries largely uncontested and no major recent developments altering the balance, traders see limited path for the Republican nominee Dennis Hannon. A late national political shift, unexpected scandal, or unusually strong turnout surge could narrow the gap, though the district’s urban Buffalo-Niagara Falls base has favored Democrats in recent cycles.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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