Incumbent Democrat Shontel Brown secured her party's nomination with over 85 percent in the May 2026 primary for Ohio's 11th Congressional District, facing Republican nominee Mike Kirchner in the November general election. The Cleveland-area seat maintains a deep Democratic partisan lean, reflected in consistent "safe" or "solid" ratings from forecasters and the resulting trader consensus around 94.5 percent for Democrats. This positioning stems from the district's voter base and the absence of competitive challenges or national shifts that would alter expectations. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal affecting the incumbent, an unprecedented Republican wave election, or significant turnout surprises in the final months before November 3.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertOH-11 Wahlsieger
OH-11 Wahlsieger
NEU
NEU
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
95%
Republikanische Partei
6%
NEU
NEU
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$4,350 Vol.
95%
Republikanische Partei
$2,933 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Shontel Brown secured her party's nomination with over 85 percent in the May 2026 primary for Ohio's 11th Congressional District, facing Republican nominee Mike Kirchner in the November general election. The Cleveland-area seat maintains a deep Democratic partisan lean, reflected in consistent "safe" or "solid" ratings from forecasters and the resulting trader consensus around 94.5 percent for Democrats. This positioning stems from the district's voter base and the absence of competitive challenges or national shifts that would alter expectations. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal affecting the incumbent, an unprecedented Republican wave election, or significant turnout surprises in the final months before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$7,284Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Shontel Brown secured her party's nomination with over 85 percent in the May 2026 primary for Ohio's 11th Congressional District, facing Republican nominee Mike Kirchner in the November general election. The Cleveland-area seat maintains a deep Democratic partisan lean, reflected in consistent "safe" or "solid" ratings from forecasters and the resulting trader consensus around 94.5 percent for Democrats. This positioning stems from the district's voter base and the absence of competitive challenges or national shifts that would alter expectations. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal affecting the incumbent, an unprecedented Republican wave election, or significant turnout surprises in the final months before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$7,284Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Shontel Brown secured her party's nomination with over 85 percent in the May 2026 primary for Ohio's 11th Congressional District, facing Republican nominee Mike Kirchner in the November general election. The Cleveland-area seat maintains a deep Democratic partisan lean, reflected in consistent "safe" or "solid" ratings from forecasters and the resulting trader consensus around 94.5 percent for Democrats. This positioning stems from the district's voter base and the absence of competitive challenges or national shifts that would alter expectations. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal affecting the incumbent, an unprecedented Republican wave election, or significant turnout surprises in the final months before November 3.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen