Oklahoma's strong Republican electoral history and partisan composition underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican victory in the 2026 Senate race at 92.5 percent. The seat became open after incumbent Markwayne Mullin resigned in March 2026 to serve as secretary of homeland security, leading to Alan Armstrong's interim appointment; the June primary features multiple Republican contenders including Kevin Hern. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Republican, with limited Democratic primary activity and no polling indicating a viable general-election challenge. A shift would require an unusually strong Democratic nominee, major late developments within the Republican field, or turnout anomalies exceeding historical patterns in this solidly Republican state.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$13,908 Vol.
$13,908 Vol.

Republikaner
93%

Demokrat
7%
$13,908 Vol.
$13,908 Vol.

Republikaner
93%

Demokrat
7%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma's strong Republican electoral history and partisan composition underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican victory in the 2026 Senate race at 92.5 percent. The seat became open after incumbent Markwayne Mullin resigned in March 2026 to serve as secretary of homeland security, leading to Alan Armstrong's interim appointment; the June primary features multiple Republican contenders including Kevin Hern. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Republican, with limited Democratic primary activity and no polling indicating a viable general-election challenge. A shift would require an unusually strong Democratic nominee, major late developments within the Republican field, or turnout anomalies exceeding historical patterns in this solidly Republican state.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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