Idaho’s 2nd congressional district has long favored Republican candidates due to its eastern and northern Boise voter base, where the party consistently secures large margins in federal races. Incumbent Mike Simpson secured the GOP nomination in the May 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Democrat Elinor Gilbreath, who won her party’s contest. Simpson’s multi-decade tenure, name recognition, and the district’s structural Republican advantage have produced the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing. A significant shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic performance capable of overcoming the district’s established voting patterns.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertID-02 Wahlsieger
ID-02 Wahlsieger
NEU
NEU
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
93%
Demokratische Partei
8%
NEU
NEU
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$3,049 Vol.
93%
Demokratische Partei
$3,409 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Idaho’s 2nd congressional district has long favored Republican candidates due to its eastern and northern Boise voter base, where the party consistently secures large margins in federal races. Incumbent Mike Simpson secured the GOP nomination in the May 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Democrat Elinor Gilbreath, who won her party’s contest. Simpson’s multi-decade tenure, name recognition, and the district’s structural Republican advantage have produced the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing. A significant shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic performance capable of overcoming the district’s established voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volumen
$6,458Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Idaho’s 2nd congressional district has long favored Republican candidates due to its eastern and northern Boise voter base, where the party consistently secures large margins in federal races. Incumbent Mike Simpson secured the GOP nomination in the May 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Democrat Elinor Gilbreath, who won her party’s contest. Simpson’s multi-decade tenure, name recognition, and the district’s structural Republican advantage have produced the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing. A significant shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic performance capable of overcoming the district’s established voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$6,458Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Idaho’s 2nd congressional district has long favored Republican candidates due to its eastern and northern Boise voter base, where the party consistently secures large margins in federal races. Incumbent Mike Simpson secured the GOP nomination in the May 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Democrat Elinor Gilbreath, who won her party’s contest. Simpson’s multi-decade tenure, name recognition, and the district’s structural Republican advantage have produced the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing. A significant shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic performance capable of overcoming the district’s established voting patterns.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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