Recent polling for Israel's October 27 Knesset election consistently projects Shas at seven seats, equivalent to roughly 6% of the vote, within a Netanyahu-aligned bloc that has lost ground to Yashar and other opposition lists. This positioning keeps the party's share tightly contested across the 6-9% bands as traders weigh Haredi turnout patterns, competition from United Torah Judaism and Religious Zionism parties, and the impact of candidate list finalization. High undecided voter shares and the 3.25% electoral threshold add volatility, with separation likely to hinge on late mobilization efforts among Mizrahi ultra-Orthodox communities and any shifts in coalition bloc arithmetic before election day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert<6% 27%
6-7 % 27%
9 %+ 26%
7-8 % 25%
<6%
27%
6-7 %
27%
7-8 %
25%
8-9 %
25%
9 %+
26%
<6% 27%
6-7 % 27%
9 %+ 26%
7-8 % 25%
<6%
27%
6-7 %
27%
7-8 %
25%
8-9 %
25%
9 %+
26%
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Shas party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Shas's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Shas passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 4:17 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Shas party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Shas's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Shas passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Israel's October 27 Knesset election consistently projects Shas at seven seats, equivalent to roughly 6% of the vote, within a Netanyahu-aligned bloc that has lost ground to Yashar and other opposition lists. This positioning keeps the party's share tightly contested across the 6-9% bands as traders weigh Haredi turnout patterns, competition from United Torah Judaism and Religious Zionism parties, and the impact of candidate list finalization. High undecided voter shares and the 3.25% electoral threshold add volatility, with separation likely to hinge on late mobilization efforts among Mizrahi ultra-Orthodox communities and any shifts in coalition bloc arithmetic before election day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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