Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 Knesset election place Blue and White, led by Benny Gantz, at roughly 0.7-1.4% of the vote, well below the 3.25% electoral threshold. Multiple September surveys after candidate list submissions show the party failing to clear that bar amid ongoing defections of lawmakers to rival lists such as Yashar and B’Yachad. Gantz submitted a revamped slate featuring new candidates, yet opposition figures have urged him to withdraw to avoid splitting centrist votes. These consistent polling results underpin trader consensus that the party's vote share will remain low, with the largest probabilities assigned to outcomes under 1.25%. No major last-minute surge has altered this positioning in the final weeks before the vote.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert<0,75 % 39%
0,75–1,25 % 21%
1,25-2% 21%
2-3,25 % 19%
NEU
NEU
30. Nov. 2026
<0,75 %
39%
0,75–1,25 %
21%
1,25-2%
21%
2-3,25 %
19%
3,25 %+
7%
<0,75 % 39%
0,75–1,25 % 21%
1,25-2% 21%
2-3,25 % 19%
NEU
NEU
30. Nov. 2026
<0,75 %
$244 Vol.
39%
0,75–1,25 %
$373 Vol.
21%
1,25-2%
$15 Vol.
21%
2-3,25 %
$15 Vol.
19%
3,25 %+
$245 Vol.
7%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 Knesset election place Blue and White, led by Benny Gantz, at roughly 0.7-1.4% of the vote, well below the 3.25% electoral threshold. Multiple September surveys after candidate list submissions show the party failing to clear that bar amid ongoing defections of lawmakers to rival lists such as Yashar and B’Yachad. Gantz submitted a revamped slate featuring new candidates, yet opposition figures have urged him to withdraw to avoid splitting centrist votes. These consistent polling results underpin trader consensus that the party's vote share will remain low, with the largest probabilities assigned to outcomes under 1.25%. No major last-minute surge has altered this positioning in the final weeks before the vote.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
Volumen
$892Enddatum
27. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 Knesset election place Blue and White, led by Benny Gantz, at roughly 0.7-1.4% of the vote, well below the 3.25% electoral threshold. Multiple September surveys after candidate list submissions show the party failing to clear that bar amid ongoing defections of lawmakers to rival lists such as Yashar and B’Yachad. Gantz submitted a revamped slate featuring new candidates, yet opposition figures have urged him to withdraw to avoid splitting centrist votes. These consistent polling results underpin trader consensus that the party's vote share will remain low, with the largest probabilities assigned to outcomes under 1.25%. No major last-minute surge has altered this positioning in the final weeks before the vote.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Volumen
$892Enddatum
27. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 Knesset election place Blue and White, led by Benny Gantz, at roughly 0.7-1.4% of the vote, well below the 3.25% electoral threshold. Multiple September surveys after candidate list submissions show the party failing to clear that bar amid ongoing defections of lawmakers to rival lists such as Yashar and B’Yachad. Gantz submitted a revamped slate featuring new candidates, yet opposition figures have urged him to withdraw to avoid splitting centrist votes. These consistent polling results underpin trader consensus that the party's vote share will remain low, with the largest probabilities assigned to outcomes under 1.25%. No major last-minute surge has altered this positioning in the final weeks before the vote.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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