Lebanon's parliamentary elections operate under a sectarian power-sharing framework that allocates seats across religious communities, making outright victories by any single party rare and coalition-building essential for control of the 128-seat legislature. Recent regional conflicts, economic pressures, and shifting alliances among major blocs have further fragmented voter preferences, leaving no dominant contender and keeping implied probabilities extremely low across the field. Key differentiators include each group's sectarian base, foreign policy alignments, and positions on issues such as disarmament and reconstruction. Support could consolidate through pre-election pacts, higher turnout in pivotal districts, or realignments triggered by candidate withdrawals or new diplomatic developments before the vote.