Somaliland’s House of Elders approved a 27-month term extension for the current parliament and local councils in April 2026, overriding the National Electoral Commission’s recommendation for a shorter 10-month postponement. The decision followed documented challenges including drought-induced displacement, security constraints in multiple districts, and incomplete voter registration ahead of the original May 2026 target. This builds on Somaliland’s repeated pattern of electoral delays, with the most recent presidential vote itself postponed from 2022 until November 2024. Trader consensus at 98.4% for no election before 2027 reflects these binding institutional steps and logistical realities. Earlier voting could occur only if the extension is reversed through new legislation, preparations accelerate dramatically despite ongoing constraints, or an unforeseen political agreement compresses the timeline.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertGewinner der Parlamentswahl in Somaliland
Gewinner der Parlamentswahl in Somaliland
Keine Wahl vor 2027 98.5%
Gerechtigkeit und Wohlfahrt (UCID) <1%
Kulmiye <1%
Waddani <1%
$111,861 Vol.
$111,861 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Keine Wahl vor 2027
99%
Gerechtigkeit und Wohlfahrt (UCID)
1%
Kulmiye
<1%
Waddani
<1%
Keine Wahl vor 2027 98.5%
Gerechtigkeit und Wohlfahrt (UCID) <1%
Kulmiye <1%
Waddani <1%
$111,861 Vol.
$111,861 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Keine Wahl vor 2027
$98,207 Vol.
99%
Gerechtigkeit und Wohlfahrt (UCID)
$5,116 Vol.
1%
Kulmiye
$3,783 Vol.
<1%
Waddani
$4,756 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Somaliland’s House of Elders approved a 27-month term extension for the current parliament and local councils in April 2026, overriding the National Electoral Commission’s recommendation for a shorter 10-month postponement. The decision followed documented challenges including drought-induced displacement, security constraints in multiple districts, and incomplete voter registration ahead of the original May 2026 target. This builds on Somaliland’s repeated pattern of electoral delays, with the most recent presidential vote itself postponed from 2022 until November 2024. Trader consensus at 98.4% for no election before 2027 reflects these binding institutional steps and logistical realities. Earlier voting could occur only if the extension is reversed through new legislation, preparations accelerate dramatically despite ongoing constraints, or an unforeseen political agreement compresses the timeline.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
Markt eröffnet: Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ET
Volumen
$111,861Enddatum
31. März 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Somaliland’s House of Elders approved a 27-month term extension for the current parliament and local councils in April 2026, overriding the National Electoral Commission’s recommendation for a shorter 10-month postponement. The decision followed documented challenges including drought-induced displacement, security constraints in multiple districts, and incomplete voter registration ahead of the original May 2026 target. This builds on Somaliland’s repeated pattern of electoral delays, with the most recent presidential vote itself postponed from 2022 until November 2024. Trader consensus at 98.4% for no election before 2027 reflects these binding institutional steps and logistical realities. Earlier voting could occur only if the extension is reversed through new legislation, preparations accelerate dramatically despite ongoing constraints, or an unforeseen political agreement compresses the timeline.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
Volumen
$111,861Enddatum
31. März 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Somaliland’s House of Elders approved a 27-month term extension for the current parliament and local councils in April 2026, overriding the National Electoral Commission’s recommendation for a shorter 10-month postponement. The decision followed documented challenges including drought-induced displacement, security constraints in multiple districts, and incomplete voter registration ahead of the original May 2026 target. This builds on Somaliland’s repeated pattern of electoral delays, with the most recent presidential vote itself postponed from 2022 until November 2024. Trader consensus at 98.4% for no election before 2027 reflects these binding institutional steps and logistical realities. Earlier voting could occur only if the extension is reversed through new legislation, preparations accelerate dramatically despite ongoing constraints, or an unforeseen political agreement compresses the timeline.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertVerwandte
Wird Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) die meisten Sitze bei der lettischen Parlamentswahl 2026 gewinnen?
88%
Ja
Wird Einiges Russland (ER) die meisten Sitze bei der nächsten russischen Parlamentswahl gewinnen?
99%
Ja
Wird die Amal-Bewegung bei der libanesischen Parlamentswahl 2026 die meisten Sitze gewinnen?
1%
Ja
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