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Welt·Kanada

Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Welt·Kanada

Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Stéphanie Martin 44%

Françoise Faverjon-Fortin 44%

Patrick Paquet 44%

Charles Hudon 25%

Polymarket
NEU

Stéphanie Martin 44%

Françoise Faverjon-Fortin 44%

Patrick Paquet 44%

Charles Hudon 25%

Polymarket
NEU
icon for Stéphanie Martin

Stéphanie Martin

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Françoise Faverjon-Fortin

Françoise Faverjon-Fortin

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Patrick Paquet

Patrick Paquet

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Charles Hudon

Charles Hudon

$0 Vol.

25%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).**The Vanier-Les Rivières riding in Quebec City remains a tight three-way contest ahead of the October 5, 2026 provincial election, with trader consensus reflecting comparable implied probabilities for PQ candidate Stéphanie Martin, CAQ candidate Françoise Faverjon-Fortin, and PCQ candidate Patrick Paquet.** Recent regional polling shows the PCQ performing strongly in the Quebec City area, capitalizing on voter shifts away from the incumbent CAQ, while province-wide surveys indicate the PQ holding a narrow lead or tie with a recovering CAQ. The riding’s history of CAQ dominance (47.9% in 2022) has been upended by PCQ gains and PQ momentum in francophone suburban seats. Liberal candidate Charles Hudon trails, consistent with weaker PLQ support outside Montreal. With nominations open until September 17 and no dominant local frontrunner yet emerging, the outcome hinges on turnout among Conservative-leaning voters, CAQ retention efforts, and any late provincial polling shifts that could separate the top contenders in this fragmented Capitale-Nationale district.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volumen
$0
Enddatum
5. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 31, 2026, 3:52 PM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).**The Vanier-Les Rivières riding in Quebec City remains a tight three-way contest ahead of the October 5, 2026 provincial election, with trader consensus reflecting comparable implied probabilities for PQ candidate Stéphanie Martin, CAQ candidate Françoise Faverjon-Fortin, and PCQ candidate Patrick Paquet.** Recent regional polling shows the PCQ performing strongly in the Quebec City area, capitalizing on voter shifts away from the incumbent CAQ, while province-wide surveys indicate the PQ holding a narrow lead or tie with a recovering CAQ. The riding’s history of CAQ dominance (47.9% in 2022) has been upended by PCQ gains and PQ momentum in francophone suburban seats. Liberal candidate Charles Hudon trails, consistent with weaker PLQ support outside Montreal. With nominations open until September 17 and no dominant local frontrunner yet emerging, the outcome hinges on turnout among Conservative-leaning voters, CAQ retention efforts, and any late provincial polling shifts that could separate the top contenders in this fragmented Capitale-Nationale district.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volumen
$0
Enddatum
5. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 31, 2026, 3:52 PM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

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Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 4 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Stéphanie Martin" mit 44%, gefolgt von „Françoise Faverjon-Fortin" mit 44%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 44¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 44% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 31, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 4 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" ist „Stéphanie Martin" mit 44%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 44% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Françoise Faverjon-Fortin" mit 44%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.