The 90% cap on wagering loss deductions under IRC Section 165(d) took effect for tax years beginning after December 31, 2025, via the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, replacing the prior 100% offset against winnings while making related TCJA rules permanent. Multiple repeal measures, including the FAIR BET Act and FULL HOUSE Act, have drawn bipartisan sponsors and gaming-industry support since early 2026, yet none have advanced past committee or Rules Committee hurdles in the Republican-led House. Recent advocacy, such as UFC’s Dana White urging executive intervention, has not altered the legislative calendar. With narrow majorities, revenue scoring concerns, and no floor votes scheduled before year-end, traders assign an 81% probability that the cap will remain through 2026.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
$71,482 Vol.
$71,482 Vol.
Ja
$71,482 Vol.
$71,482 Vol.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Abwickler
0x65070BE91...To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Abwickler
0x65070BE91...The 90% cap on wagering loss deductions under IRC Section 165(d) took effect for tax years beginning after December 31, 2025, via the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, replacing the prior 100% offset against winnings while making related TCJA rules permanent. Multiple repeal measures, including the FAIR BET Act and FULL HOUSE Act, have drawn bipartisan sponsors and gaming-industry support since early 2026, yet none have advanced past committee or Rules Committee hurdles in the Republican-led House. Recent advocacy, such as UFC’s Dana White urging executive intervention, has not altered the legislative calendar. With narrow majorities, revenue scoring concerns, and no floor votes scheduled before year-end, traders assign an 81% probability that the cap will remain through 2026.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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