Trump's administration and Republican-led Congress prioritized extending expiring provisions from the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act through the One Big Beautiful Bill Act signed in July 2025, focusing on individual cuts, pass-through deductions, and business incentives like bonus depreciation rather than enacting a new reduction in the 21% corporate rate. With midterms approaching in November 2026 and competing legislative priorities, including appropriations and potential debt ceiling measures, the window for advancing a standalone corporate rate cut bill has narrowed considerably. Trader consensus at 95.5% for no change before 2027 reflects these procedural and calendar constraints. Scenarios that could still shift odds include attaching a rate reduction to year-end must-pass legislation in a lame-duck session or securing stronger unified Republican control after the midterms to enable reconciliation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
$15,959 Vol.
$15,959 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Ja
$15,959 Vol.
$15,959 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Trump's administration and Republican-led Congress prioritized extending expiring provisions from the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act through the One Big Beautiful Bill Act signed in July 2025, focusing on individual cuts, pass-through deductions, and business incentives like bonus depreciation rather than enacting a new reduction in the 21% corporate rate. With midterms approaching in November 2026 and competing legislative priorities, including appropriations and potential debt ceiling measures, the window for advancing a standalone corporate rate cut bill has narrowed considerably. Trader consensus at 95.5% for no change before 2027 reflects these procedural and calendar constraints. Scenarios that could still shift odds include attaching a rate reduction to year-end must-pass legislation in a lame-duck session or securing stronger unified Republican control after the midterms to enable reconciliation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ET
Volumen
$15,959Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Trump's administration and Republican-led Congress prioritized extending expiring provisions from the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act through the One Big Beautiful Bill Act signed in July 2025, focusing on individual cuts, pass-through deductions, and business incentives like bonus depreciation rather than enacting a new reduction in the 21% corporate rate. With midterms approaching in November 2026 and competing legislative priorities, including appropriations and potential debt ceiling measures, the window for advancing a standalone corporate rate cut bill has narrowed considerably. Trader consensus at 95.5% for no change before 2027 reflects these procedural and calendar constraints. Scenarios that could still shift odds include attaching a rate reduction to year-end must-pass legislation in a lame-duck session or securing stronger unified Republican control after the midterms to enable reconciliation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Volumen
$15,959Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's administration and Republican-led Congress prioritized extending expiring provisions from the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act through the One Big Beautiful Bill Act signed in July 2025, focusing on individual cuts, pass-through deductions, and business incentives like bonus depreciation rather than enacting a new reduction in the 21% corporate rate. With midterms approaching in November 2026 and competing legislative priorities, including appropriations and potential debt ceiling measures, the window for advancing a standalone corporate rate cut bill has narrowed considerably. Trader consensus at 95.5% for no change before 2027 reflects these procedural and calendar constraints. Scenarios that could still shift odds include attaching a rate reduction to year-end must-pass legislation in a lame-duck session or securing stronger unified Republican control after the midterms to enable reconciliation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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