Geopolitical tensions stemming from the U.S.-Israel-Iran conflict and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz have driven recent volatility in WTI crude oil prices, with benchmarks trading near $85–$95 per barrel in early June 2026 amid supply disruption concerns and inventory draws. These factors have created a risk premium that supports elevated levels heading into month-end, though prices have shown sensitivity to any signs of de-escalation or coordinated reserve releases. Market-implied odds for Crude Oil (CL) outcomes at end-of-June settlement reflect trader assessments of ongoing supply constraints versus potential buffers from non-OPEC output and demand softness, with resolution depending on near-term developments in the conflict and global inventory trends.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertRohöl (CL) über ___ Ende Juni?
$134,780 Vol.
90 $
48%
85 $
62%
80 $
74%
75 $
84%
70 $
94%
65 $
92%
63 $
97%
60 $
98%
56 $
97%
55 $
98%
$52
99%
50 $
99%
$134,780 Vol.
90 $
48%
85 $
62%
80 $
74%
75 $
84%
70 $
94%
65 $
92%
63 $
97%
60 $
98%
56 $
97%
55 $
98%
$52
99%
50 $
99%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Geopolitical tensions stemming from the U.S.-Israel-Iran conflict and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz have driven recent volatility in WTI crude oil prices, with benchmarks trading near $85–$95 per barrel in early June 2026 amid supply disruption concerns and inventory draws. These factors have created a risk premium that supports elevated levels heading into month-end, though prices have shown sensitivity to any signs of de-escalation or coordinated reserve releases. Market-implied odds for Crude Oil (CL) outcomes at end-of-June settlement reflect trader assessments of ongoing supply constraints versus potential buffers from non-OPEC output and demand softness, with resolution depending on near-term developments in the conflict and global inventory trends.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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