Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 80-99 Truth Social posts by Donald Trump during March 20-27, 2026, at 36.5% implied probability, reflecting his established pattern of 10-15 daily posts amid ongoing political engagement. This range leads based on historical data from 2024, when Trump averaged 85-110 weekly posts during campaign peaks and post-election transition, driven by direct announcements, rally recaps, and media responses. Supporting bins like 100-119 (21.5%) and 60-79 (19.5%) capture variability from event-driven surges or quieter days. Recent sustained activity—over 90 posts in late 2024 weeks—reinforces these mid-high outcomes, though 2026 uncertainties, including presidential duties if reelected, could shift volumes around scheduled events like congressional sessions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert80-99 38%
100-119 20%
60-79 19%
120-139 17%
<20
1%
20-39
1%
40-59
4%
60-79
19%
80-99
33%
100-119
22%
120-139
17%
140-159
15%
160-179
10%
180-199
10%
200+
3%
80-99 38%
100-119 20%
60-79 19%
120-139 17%
<20
1%
20-39
1%
40-59
4%
60-79
19%
80-99
33%
100-119
22%
120-139
17%
140-159
15%
160-179
10%
180-199
10%
200+
3%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 17, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 80-99 Truth Social posts by Donald Trump during March 20-27, 2026, at 36.5% implied probability, reflecting his established pattern of 10-15 daily posts amid ongoing political engagement. This range leads based on historical data from 2024, when Trump averaged 85-110 weekly posts during campaign peaks and post-election transition, driven by direct announcements, rally recaps, and media responses. Supporting bins like 100-119 (21.5%) and 60-79 (19.5%) capture variability from event-driven surges or quieter days. Recent sustained activity—over 90 posts in late 2024 weeks—reinforces these mid-high outcomes, though 2026 uncertainties, including presidential duties if reelected, could shift volumes around scheduled events like congressional sessions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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