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Politik·Weltwahlen

Gewinner der Parlamentswahl in Äthiopien

Market icon
Politik·Weltwahlen

Gewinner der Parlamentswahl in Äthiopien

Prosperity 94.8%

GPDP 3.9%

TPLF <1%

EZEMA <1%

Polymarket
NEU

Prosperity 94.8%

GPDP 3.9%

TPLF <1%

EZEMA <1%

Polymarket
NEU
Wird die Prosperity Party (Prosperity) bei der äthiopischen Parlamentswahl 2026 die meisten Sitze gewinnen? icon

Prosperity

$3,058 Vol.

95%

Wird die Gedeo People’s Democratic Party (GPDP) bei der äthiopischen Parlamentswahl 2026 die meisten Sitze gewinnen? icon

GPDP

$1,708 Vol.

4%

Wird die Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF) bei den äthiopischen Parlamentswahlen 2026 die meisten Sitze gewinnen? icon

TPLF

$1,103 Vol.

<1%

Wird die äthiopische Bürgerpartei für soziale Gerechtigkeit (EZEMA) bei den allgemeinen Wahlen in Äthiopien 2026 die meisten Sitze gewinnen? icon

EZEMA

$0 Vol.

<1%

Wird die Nationale Bewegung der Amhara (NaMA) bei den äthiopischen Parlamentswahlen 2026 die meisten Sitze gewinnen? icon

NaMA

$1,242 Vol.

<1%

General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Ethiopian House of Peoples' Representatives election. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Ethiopian Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Ethiopian government, specifically the National Election Board of Ethiopia (NEBE) (nebe.org.et/en).**Prosperity Party's commanding 94.4% trader consensus for the June 1 parliamentary election winner stems from its incumbency dominance and 2021 landslide capturing over 95% of seats, reinforced by superior organization amid fragmented opposition.** The National Election Board of Ethiopia's April 2 announcement of 36.9 million registered voters and accreditation of 23 opposition parties, including GPDP, TPLF, EZEMA, and NaMA, underscores preparations, but persistent security challenges in Amhara, Oromia, and Tigray—flagged as high-risk zones—constrain rival campaigning. Government control over electoral processes and weak opposition cohesion sustain this positioning. Realistic shifts could arise from escalated conflict halting voting, a surprise unified opposition coalition, or major procedural disputes, though structural barriers favor the ruling party.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Ethiopian House of Peoples' Representatives election.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Ethiopian Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Ethiopian government, specifically the National Election Board of Ethiopia (NEBE) (nebe.org.et/en).
Volumen
$7,111
Enddatum
1. Juni 2026
Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 3:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Ethiopian House of Peoples' Representatives election. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Ethiopian Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Ethiopian government, specifically the National Election Board of Ethiopia (NEBE) (nebe.org.et/en).
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Ethiopian House of Peoples' Representatives election. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Ethiopian Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Ethiopian government, specifically the National Election Board of Ethiopia (NEBE) (nebe.org.et/en).**Prosperity Party's commanding 94.4% trader consensus for the June 1 parliamentary election winner stems from its incumbency dominance and 2021 landslide capturing over 95% of seats, reinforced by superior organization amid fragmented opposition.** The National Election Board of Ethiopia's April 2 announcement of 36.9 million registered voters and accreditation of 23 opposition parties, including GPDP, TPLF, EZEMA, and NaMA, underscores preparations, but persistent security challenges in Amhara, Oromia, and Tigray—flagged as high-risk zones—constrain rival campaigning. Government control over electoral processes and weak opposition cohesion sustain this positioning. Realistic shifts could arise from escalated conflict halting voting, a surprise unified opposition coalition, or major procedural disputes, though structural barriers favor the ruling party.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Ethiopian House of Peoples' Representatives election.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Ethiopian Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Ethiopian government, specifically the National Election Board of Ethiopia (NEBE) (nebe.org.et/en).
Volumen
$7,111
Enddatum
1. Juni 2026
Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 3:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Ethiopian House of Peoples' Representatives election. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Ethiopian Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Ethiopian government, specifically the National Election Board of Ethiopia (NEBE) (nebe.org.et/en).

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Gewinner der Parlamentswahl in Äthiopien" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 5 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Prosperity" mit 95%, gefolgt von „GPDP" mit 4%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 95¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 95% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Gewinner der Parlamentswahl in Äthiopien" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Dec 16, 2025. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Gewinner der Parlamentswahl in Äthiopien" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 5 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Gewinner der Parlamentswahl in Äthiopien" ist „Prosperity" mit 95%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 95% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „GPDP" mit 4%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Gewinner der Parlamentswahl in Äthiopien" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.