Skip to main content
icon for Wahlsieger des Bundesbezirksgouverneurs
Politik·Hauptwahl

Wahlsieger des Bundesbezirksgouverneurs

icon for Wahlsieger des Bundesbezirksgouverneurs
Politik·Hauptwahl

Wahlsieger des Bundesbezirksgouverneurs

Cappelli 44%

Celina Leão 44%

Expedito Mendonça 44%

Paula Belmonte 44%

Polymarket
NEU

Cappelli 44%

Celina Leão 44%

Expedito Mendonça 44%

Paula Belmonte 44%

Polymarket
NEU
icon for Cappelli

Cappelli

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Celina Leão

Celina Leão

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Expedito Mendonça

Expedito Mendonça

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Paula Belmonte

Paula Belmonte

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Professora Samara Mineiro

Professora Samara Mineiro

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Elisson

Elisson

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Leandro Grass

Leandro Grass

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Professor Robson

Professor Robson

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Kiko Caputo

Kiko Caputo

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Arruda

Arruda

$0 Vol.

42%

The Federal District gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Federal District gubernatorial race remains fragmented ahead of the October election, with multiple declared candidates drawing comparable support in early polling and contributing to dispersed trader probabilities. Incumbent Celina Leão holds a measurable edge in recent surveys against figures such as former governor José Roberto Arruda, yet the field also includes Leandro Grass, Ricardo Cappelli, Kiko Caputo, and several others, preventing any single contender from consolidating a majority. This structure favors a potential runoff while alliances, party nominations, and voter turnout in the capital region continue to shift. Traders appear to price in ongoing uncertainty over final ballot access, coalition dynamics, and late campaign developments that could separate the leaders before voting.

The Federal District gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$0
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 5:44 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Federal District gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Federal District gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Federal District gubernatorial race remains fragmented ahead of the October election, with multiple declared candidates drawing comparable support in early polling and contributing to dispersed trader probabilities. Incumbent Celina Leão holds a measurable edge in recent surveys against figures such as former governor José Roberto Arruda, yet the field also includes Leandro Grass, Ricardo Cappelli, Kiko Caputo, and several others, preventing any single contender from consolidating a majority. This structure favors a potential runoff while alliances, party nominations, and voter turnout in the capital region continue to shift. Traders appear to price in ongoing uncertainty over final ballot access, coalition dynamics, and late campaign developments that could separate the leaders before voting.

The Federal District gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$0
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 5:44 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Federal District gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Verwandte

icon for Wird Lucas Ribeiro die Gouverneurswahl in Paraíba gewinnen?

Wird Lucas Ribeiro die Gouverneurswahl in Paraíba gewinnen?

75%
Ja
icon for Wird Raquel Lyra die Gouverneurswahl in Pernambuco gewinnen?

Wird Raquel Lyra die Gouverneurswahl in Pernambuco gewinnen?

70%
Ja
icon for Wird Omar Aziz die Gouverneurswahl in Amazonas 2026 gewinnen?

Wird Omar Aziz die Gouverneurswahl in Amazonas 2026 gewinnen?

53%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wahlsieger des Bundesbezirksgouverneurs" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 10 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Cappelli" mit 44%, gefolgt von „Celina Leão" mit 44%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 44¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 44% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Wahlsieger des Bundesbezirksgouverneurs" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 17, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Wahlsieger des Bundesbezirksgouverneurs" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 10 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wahlsieger des Bundesbezirksgouverneurs" ist „Cappelli" mit 44%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 44% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Celina Leão" mit 44%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Wahlsieger des Bundesbezirksgouverneurs" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.