Incumbent Paul Lefebvre’s established record as Greater Sudbury’s mayor and his May 2026 re-election announcement underpin trader consensus at 75 percent, reflecting typical municipal incumbency advantages and limited organized opposition. Multiple candidates including Miranda Rocca-Circelli (who placed third in 2022), Bob Johnston, Troy Crowder, Joseph Boutros, and others have registered ahead of the October 26, 2026 vote, with nominations under review as of late August. Recent developments such as Bill Leduc’s withdrawal from the mayoral contest have not materially altered positioning. Traders price the fragmented field of challengers accordingly, with Rocca-Circelli at 14.5 percent and remaining contenders below 7 percent, while noting that late campaign events or turnout shifts could still influence the outcome before election day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertPaul Lefebvre 75%
Miranda Rocca-Circelli 16%
Troy Crowder 6%
Joseph Boutros 3.6%

Paul Lefebvre
75%

Miranda Rocca-Circelli
16%

Troy Crowder
6%

Joseph Boutros
4%

Bob Johnston
3%

Rodney Newton
3%

Keenan Menard
3%

Michael McIntosh
3%
Paul Lefebvre 75%
Miranda Rocca-Circelli 16%
Troy Crowder 6%
Joseph Boutros 3.6%

Paul Lefebvre
75%

Miranda Rocca-Circelli
16%

Troy Crowder
6%

Joseph Boutros
4%

Bob Johnston
3%

Rodney Newton
3%

Keenan Menard
3%

Michael McIntosh
3%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Greater Sudbury, Ontario as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Sudbury, Ontario.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 24, 2026, 2:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Greater Sudbury, Ontario as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Sudbury, Ontario.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Paul Lefebvre’s established record as Greater Sudbury’s mayor and his May 2026 re-election announcement underpin trader consensus at 75 percent, reflecting typical municipal incumbency advantages and limited organized opposition. Multiple candidates including Miranda Rocca-Circelli (who placed third in 2022), Bob Johnston, Troy Crowder, Joseph Boutros, and others have registered ahead of the October 26, 2026 vote, with nominations under review as of late August. Recent developments such as Bill Leduc’s withdrawal from the mayoral contest have not materially altered positioning. Traders price the fragmented field of challengers accordingly, with Rocca-Circelli at 14.5 percent and remaining contenders below 7 percent, while noting that late campaign events or turnout shifts could still influence the outcome before election day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen