Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's ongoing legal battles, with No Prison Time at 35.6% edging 20-30 years at 30.5% amid his third New York rape retrial, which began jury selection on April 15 and featured prosecutorial opening statements portraying him as a Hollywood predator using his influence to abuse women. A skeptical Los Angeles appellate panel reviewed his 2022 rape conviction appeal on April 24, signaling hurdles to overturning the 16-year California sentence he's currently serving alongside a prior New York sexual assault conviction. Key swing factors include the imminent New York verdict and potential plea resolutions on unresolved charges, with historical appeal successes fueling release hopes against entrenched #MeToo convictions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHarvey Weinstein Gefängniszeit?
Harvey Weinstein Gefängniszeit?
Keine Gefängnisstrafe 35.6%
20-30 Jahre 30.5%
10-20 Jahre 11.6%
Über 30 Jahre 9.1%
$875,649 Vol.
$875,649 Vol.
Keine Gefängnisstrafe
36%
<5 Jahre
3%
5-10 Jahre
5%
10-20 Jahre
12%
20-30 Jahre
31%
Über 30 Jahre
9%
Keine Gefängnisstrafe 35.6%
20-30 Jahre 30.5%
10-20 Jahre 11.6%
Über 30 Jahre 9.1%
$875,649 Vol.
$875,649 Vol.
Keine Gefängnisstrafe
36%
<5 Jahre
3%
5-10 Jahre
5%
10-20 Jahre
12%
20-30 Jahre
31%
Über 30 Jahre
9%
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's ongoing legal battles, with No Prison Time at 35.6% edging 20-30 years at 30.5% amid his third New York rape retrial, which began jury selection on April 15 and featured prosecutorial opening statements portraying him as a Hollywood predator using his influence to abuse women. A skeptical Los Angeles appellate panel reviewed his 2022 rape conviction appeal on April 24, signaling hurdles to overturning the 16-year California sentence he's currently serving alongside a prior New York sexual assault conviction. Key swing factors include the imminent New York verdict and potential plea resolutions on unresolved charges, with historical appeal successes fueling release hopes against entrenched #MeToo convictions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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