Trader consensus on whether Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro will serve prison time remains tightly contested, with 60+ years at 35.5% edging no prison time at 32.5%, reflecting uncertainty in his ongoing U.S. federal prosecution in the Southern District of New York. Captured in a U.S. military operation in January 2026 and indicted on narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, and related charges alongside wife Cilia Flores, Maduro has pleaded not guilty and remains detained pre-trial in a Brooklyn facility. A March 26 court hearing saw Judge Alvin Hellerstein reject a dismissal motion tied to disputes over Venezuelan funds for his defense, advancing the case amid claims of head-of-state immunity and irregular extradition. Separation could arise from rulings on immunity or legal fees, a plea deal, trial scheduling, or verdict by the December 2027 resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert60+ 36%
Keine Gefängnisstrafe 33%
40–60 16%
20–40 10.9%
$498,530 Vol.
$498,530 Vol.
31. Dez. 2027
Keine Gefängnisstrafe
33%
<20
5%
20–40
11%
40–60
16%
60+
36%
60+ 36%
Keine Gefängnisstrafe 33%
40–60 16%
20–40 10.9%
$498,530 Vol.
$498,530 Vol.
31. Dez. 2027
Keine Gefängnisstrafe
$367,835 Vol.
33%
<20
$36,606 Vol.
5%
20–40
$47,492 Vol.
11%
40–60
$14,916 Vol.
16%
60+
$31,681 Vol.
36%
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on whether Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro will serve prison time remains tightly contested, with 60+ years at 35.5% edging no prison time at 32.5%, reflecting uncertainty in his ongoing U.S. federal prosecution in the Southern District of New York. Captured in a U.S. military operation in January 2026 and indicted on narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, and related charges alongside wife Cilia Flores, Maduro has pleaded not guilty and remains detained pre-trial in a Brooklyn facility. A March 26 court hearing saw Judge Alvin Hellerstein reject a dismissal motion tied to disputes over Venezuelan funds for his defense, advancing the case amid claims of head-of-state immunity and irregular extradition. Separation could arise from rulings on immunity or legal fees, a plea deal, trial scheduling, or verdict by the December 2027 resolution.
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ET
Volumen
$498,530Enddatum
31. Dez. 2027Markt eröffnet
Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on whether Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro will serve prison time remains tightly contested, with 60+ years at 35.5% edging no prison time at 32.5%, reflecting uncertainty in his ongoing U.S. federal prosecution in the Southern District of New York. Captured in a U.S. military operation in January 2026 and indicted on narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, and related charges alongside wife Cilia Flores, Maduro has pleaded not guilty and remains detained pre-trial in a Brooklyn facility. A March 26 court hearing saw Judge Alvin Hellerstein reject a dismissal motion tied to disputes over Venezuelan funds for his defense, advancing the case amid claims of head-of-state immunity and irregular extradition. Separation could arise from rulings on immunity or legal fees, a plea deal, trial scheduling, or verdict by the December 2027 resolution.
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$498,530Enddatum
31. Dez. 2027Markt eröffnet
Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on whether Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro will serve prison time remains tightly contested, with 60+ years at 35.5% edging no prison time at 32.5%, reflecting uncertainty in his ongoing U.S. federal prosecution in the Southern District of New York. Captured in a U.S. military operation in January 2026 and indicted on narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, and related charges alongside wife Cilia Flores, Maduro has pleaded not guilty and remains detained pre-trial in a Brooklyn facility. A March 26 court hearing saw Judge Alvin Hellerstein reject a dismissal motion tied to disputes over Venezuelan funds for his defense, advancing the case amid claims of head-of-state immunity and irregular extradition. Separation could arise from rulings on immunity or legal fees, a plea deal, trial scheduling, or verdict by the December 2027 resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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