Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor, formerly Prince Andrew, was arrested in February 2026 on suspicion of misconduct in public office tied to disclosures of confidential trade documents, but Thames Valley Police released him without charges and the investigation has shown no further public movement more than five months later. This procedural stasis, combined with the time required for charging decisions, prosecution, trial, and sentencing in the UK justice system, underpins the 97.5% trader consensus against any prison sentence by the December 31, 2026 market close. Realistic shifts remain possible if authorities file charges soon and secure a rapid guilty plea or conviction within the resolution window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
$220,677 Vol.
$220,677 Vol.
Ja
$220,677 Vol.
$220,677 Vol.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor, formerly Prince Andrew, was arrested in February 2026 on suspicion of misconduct in public office tied to disclosures of confidential trade documents, but Thames Valley Police released him without charges and the investigation has shown no further public movement more than five months later. This procedural stasis, combined with the time required for charging decisions, prosecution, trial, and sentencing in the UK justice system, underpins the 97.5% trader consensus against any prison sentence by the December 31, 2026 market close. Realistic shifts remain possible if authorities file charges soon and secure a rapid guilty plea or conviction within the resolution window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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