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icon for Kanada vor 2029 in die EU aufgenommen?
Welt·Kanada

Kanada vor 2029 in die EU aufgenommen?

icon for Kanada vor 2029 in die EU aufgenommen?
Welt·Kanada

Kanada vor 2029 in die EU aufgenommen?

Ja

8% Chance
Polymarket
NEU

Ja

8% Chance
Polymarket
NEU
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Canada has officially been admitted to join the European Union as a full member state at any point by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Canada will be considered to have officially been admitted to join the European Union as a full member state on the date that all required parties and EU member-states have signed and ratified an accession treaty or other legally binding instrument admitting Canada as a member state of the European Union. Membership subject to opt-outs, derogations, or transition periods on specific EU policies will qualify, provided Canada is admitted as a member state of the European Union under a signed and ratified accession treaty. Associate membership, the proposed "Alliance for the Future", and any other associate, partner, or affiliate status short of full membership will not qualify. Candidate status, the opening or conclusion of accession negotiations, and any other stage of the accession process short of a signed and ratified accession treaty will not qualify. Membership in the European Economic Area, a customs union with the European Union, and any association, framework, trade, security, or cooperation agreement with the European Union will also not qualify. Once a qualifying treaty has been ratified per the terms above, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, or other change in status. The primary resolution sources for this market will be the European Commission, the European Council, and the Government of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting, may also be used.Recent developments center on the EU's September 2026 proposal for Canada to become its first "associate member," an undefined status short of full accession that Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney has welcomed as a framework for deeper cooperation on defense, critical minerals, energy, and AI. Canada has repeatedly stated it is not seeking membership and views the arrangement as preserving sovereignty rather than surrendering it. Under Article 49 of the Treaty on European Union, only European states may apply, a criterion Canada does not meet. No accession negotiations, candidate status, or treaty amendments to enable entry have been initiated, and unanimous ratification by all member states would be required. These barriers, combined with the short window before 2029, underpin traders' strong consensus against admission.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Canada has officially been admitted to join the European Union as a full member state at any point by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Canada will be considered to have officially been admitted to join the European Union as a full member state on the date that all required parties and EU member-states have signed and ratified an accession treaty or other legally binding instrument admitting Canada as a member state of the European Union.

Membership subject to opt-outs, derogations, or transition periods on specific EU policies will qualify, provided Canada is admitted as a member state of the European Union under a signed and ratified accession treaty.

Associate membership, the proposed "Alliance for the Future", and any other associate, partner, or affiliate status short of full membership will not qualify. Candidate status, the opening or conclusion of accession negotiations, and any other stage of the accession process short of a signed and ratified accession treaty will not qualify. Membership in the European Economic Area, a customs union with the European Union, and any association, framework, trade, security, or cooperation agreement with the European Union will also not qualify.

Once a qualifying treaty has been ratified per the terms above, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, or other change in status.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be the European Commission, the European Council, and the Government of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting, may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Canada has officially been admitted to join the European Union as a full member state at any point by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Canada will be considered to have officially been admitted to join the European Union as a full member state on the date that all required parties and EU member-states have signed and ratified an accession treaty or other legally binding instrument admitting Canada as a member state of the European Union. Membership subject to opt-outs, derogations, or transition periods on specific EU policies will qualify, provided Canada is admitted as a member state of the European Union under a signed and ratified accession treaty. Associate membership, the proposed "Alliance for the Future", and any other associate, partner, or affiliate status short of full membership will not qualify. Candidate status, the opening or conclusion of accession negotiations, and any other stage of the accession process short of a signed and ratified accession treaty will not qualify. Membership in the European Economic Area, a customs union with the European Union, and any association, framework, trade, security, or cooperation agreement with the European Union will also not qualify. Once a qualifying treaty has been ratified per the terms above, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, or other change in status. The primary resolution sources for this market will be the European Commission, the European Council, and the Government of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting, may also be used.
Volumen
$42
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2028
Markt eröffnet
Sep 17, 2026, 2:12 PM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://european-union.europa.eu/principles-countries-history/eu-countries_en

Abwickler

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Canada has officially been admitted to join the European Union as a full member state at any point by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Canada will be considered to have officially been admitted to join the European Union as a full member state on the date that all required parties and EU member-states have signed and ratified an accession treaty or other legally binding instrument admitting Canada as a member state of the European Union. Membership subject to opt-outs, derogations, or transition periods on specific EU policies will qualify, provided Canada is admitted as a member state of the European Union under a signed and ratified accession treaty. Associate membership, the proposed "Alliance for the Future", and any other associate, partner, or affiliate status short of full membership will not qualify. Candidate status, the opening or conclusion of accession negotiations, and any other stage of the accession process short of a signed and ratified accession treaty will not qualify. Membership in the European Economic Area, a customs union with the European Union, and any association, framework, trade, security, or cooperation agreement with the European Union will also not qualify. Once a qualifying treaty has been ratified per the terms above, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, or other change in status. The primary resolution sources for this market will be the European Commission, the European Council, and the Government of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting, may also be used.Recent developments center on the EU's September 2026 proposal for Canada to become its first "associate member," an undefined status short of full accession that Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney has welcomed as a framework for deeper cooperation on defense, critical minerals, energy, and AI. Canada has repeatedly stated it is not seeking membership and views the arrangement as preserving sovereignty rather than surrendering it. Under Article 49 of the Treaty on European Union, only European states may apply, a criterion Canada does not meet. No accession negotiations, candidate status, or treaty amendments to enable entry have been initiated, and unanimous ratification by all member states would be required. These barriers, combined with the short window before 2029, underpin traders' strong consensus against admission.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Canada has officially been admitted to join the European Union as a full member state at any point by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Canada will be considered to have officially been admitted to join the European Union as a full member state on the date that all required parties and EU member-states have signed and ratified an accession treaty or other legally binding instrument admitting Canada as a member state of the European Union.

Membership subject to opt-outs, derogations, or transition periods on specific EU policies will qualify, provided Canada is admitted as a member state of the European Union under a signed and ratified accession treaty.

Associate membership, the proposed "Alliance for the Future", and any other associate, partner, or affiliate status short of full membership will not qualify. Candidate status, the opening or conclusion of accession negotiations, and any other stage of the accession process short of a signed and ratified accession treaty will not qualify. Membership in the European Economic Area, a customs union with the European Union, and any association, framework, trade, security, or cooperation agreement with the European Union will also not qualify.

Once a qualifying treaty has been ratified per the terms above, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, or other change in status.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be the European Commission, the European Council, and the Government of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting, may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Canada has officially been admitted to join the European Union as a full member state at any point by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Canada will be considered to have officially been admitted to join the European Union as a full member state on the date that all required parties and EU member-states have signed and ratified an accession treaty or other legally binding instrument admitting Canada as a member state of the European Union. Membership subject to opt-outs, derogations, or transition periods on specific EU policies will qualify, provided Canada is admitted as a member state of the European Union under a signed and ratified accession treaty. Associate membership, the proposed "Alliance for the Future", and any other associate, partner, or affiliate status short of full membership will not qualify. Candidate status, the opening or conclusion of accession negotiations, and any other stage of the accession process short of a signed and ratified accession treaty will not qualify. Membership in the European Economic Area, a customs union with the European Union, and any association, framework, trade, security, or cooperation agreement with the European Union will also not qualify. Once a qualifying treaty has been ratified per the terms above, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, or other change in status. The primary resolution sources for this market will be the European Commission, the European Council, and the Government of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting, may also be used.
Volumen
$42
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2028
Markt eröffnet
Sep 17, 2026, 2:12 PM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://european-union.europa.eu/principles-countries-history/eu-countries_en

Abwickler

0x65070BE91...

Verwandte

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Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?

7%
icon for Wird Kanada bis zum 31. Dezember 2027 assoziiertes Mitglied der Europäischen Union werden?

Wird Kanada bis zum 31. Dezember 2027 assoziiertes Mitglied der Europäischen Union werden?

22%
Ja
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Kanada vor 2029 in die EU aufgenommen?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 2 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Kanada vor 2029 in die EU aufgenommen?" mit 8%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 8¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 8% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Kanada vor 2029 in die EU aufgenommen?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Sep 17, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

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Dies ist ein offener Markt. Der aktuelle Spitzenreiter für „Kanada vor 2029 in die EU aufgenommen?" ist „Kanada vor 2029 in die EU aufgenommen?" mit nur 8%. Da kein Ergebnis eine starke Mehrheit hat, sehen Händler dies als hochgradig unsicher an, was einzigartige Handelsmöglichkeiten bieten kann. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert – speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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