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Politik·Auszeichnungen

Friedensnobelpreisträger 2026

icon for Friedensnobelpreisträger 2026
Politik·Auszeichnungen

Friedensnobelpreisträger 2026

Julija Nawalnaja 8%

Save the Children 7.1%

Notfall-Einsatzräume des Sudans 7%

UNRWA 5.2%

Polymarket

$23,827,117 Vol.

Julija Nawalnaja 8%

Save the Children 7.1%

Notfall-Einsatzräume des Sudans 7%

UNRWA 5.2%

Polymarket

$23,827,117 Vol.

icon for Julija Nawalnaja

Julija Nawalnaja

$296,983 Vol.

8%

icon for Save the Children

Save the Children

$711 Vol.

7%

icon for Notfall-Einsatzräume des Sudans

Notfall-Einsatzräume des Sudans

$2,347 Vol.

7%

icon for UNRWA

UNRWA

$2,050,971 Vol.

5%

icon for Internationaler Gerichtshof

Internationaler Gerichtshof

$912,046 Vol.

5%

icon for Sara Al-Saqqa

Sara Al-Saqqa

$381 Vol.

4%

icon for IKRK

IKRK

$400 Vol.

4%

icon for World Central Kitchen

World Central Kitchen

$910 Vol.

3%

icon for Chow Hang-tung

Chow Hang-tung

$30 Vol.

3%

icon for Hussam Abu Safiya

Hussam Abu Safiya

$380 Vol.

3%

icon for UNHCR

UNHCR

$71 Vol.

3%

icon for Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

$789,000 Vol.

2%

icon for Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$821,619 Vol.

2%

icon for Committee to Protect Journalists

Committee to Protect Journalists

$380 Vol.

2%

icon for Swjatlana Zichanouskaja

Swjatlana Zichanouskaja

$50 Vol.

2%

icon for Reporter ohne Grenzen

Reporter ohne Grenzen

$70 Vol.

2%

icon for Ahmed al-Sharaa

Ahmed al-Sharaa

$1,274,417 Vol.

2%

icon for Donald Trump

Donald Trump

$4,525,355 Vol.

2%

icon for Greta Thunberg

Greta Thunberg

$1,473,439 Vol.

1%

icon for Narendra Modi

Narendra Modi

$688,609 Vol.

1%

icon for Gruppeneintragstitel: Julian Assange

Gruppeneintragstitel: Julian Assange

$856,338 Vol.

1%

icon for Papst Leo XIV

Papst Leo XIV

$819,868 Vol.

1%

icon for António Guterres

António Guterres

$638,630 Vol.

1%

icon for Xi Jinping

Xi Jinping

$1,435,789 Vol.

<1%

icon for Titel des Gruppenitems: Elon Musk

Titel des Gruppenitems: Elon Musk

$1,192,815 Vol.

<1%

icon for Wladimir Putin

Wladimir Putin

$922,105 Vol.

<1%

icon for Khaled Mashal

Khaled Mashal

$880,400 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gruppen-Item-Titel: Benjamin Netanyahu

Gruppen-Item-Titel: Benjamin Netanyahu

$704,721 Vol.

<1%

icon for Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

$1,067,178 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gruppeneintrag-Titel: Charlie Kirk

Gruppeneintrag-Titel: Charlie Kirk

$1,278,549 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mohammed bin Salman

Mohammed bin Salman

$1,192,554 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.Trader consensus on the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize remains highly fragmented, with no outcome exceeding 7.5% implied probability on Polymarket. Yulia Navalnaya leads slightly due to her sustained leadership of Russia's opposition movement and human rights advocacy following her husband's death, building on consistent international recognition. Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms and Save the Children sit close behind, reflecting trader focus on grassroots humanitarian networks delivering aid amid active conflicts where traditional organizations face access barriers. Recent awards like the Chatham House Prize and Right Livelihood Award for the ERRs have reinforced momentum for field-based responders. The Norwegian Nobel Committee's secrecy, combined with a recent track record favoring both activists and institutions, sustains the wide field and low individual probabilities ahead of the October announcement.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Volumen
$23,827,117
Enddatum
10. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Abwickler

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.Trader consensus on the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize remains highly fragmented, with no outcome exceeding 7.5% implied probability on Polymarket. Yulia Navalnaya leads slightly due to her sustained leadership of Russia's opposition movement and human rights advocacy following her husband's death, building on consistent international recognition. Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms and Save the Children sit close behind, reflecting trader focus on grassroots humanitarian networks delivering aid amid active conflicts where traditional organizations face access barriers. Recent awards like the Chatham House Prize and Right Livelihood Award for the ERRs have reinforced momentum for field-based responders. The Norwegian Nobel Committee's secrecy, combined with a recent track record favoring both activists and institutions, sustains the wide field and low individual probabilities ahead of the October announcement.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Volumen
$23,827,117
Enddatum
10. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Abwickler

0x2F5e3684c...

Verwandte

icon for Werden Trump, Putin und Selenskyj vor 2027 zusammen gesehen?

Werden Trump, Putin und Selenskyj vor 2027 zusammen gesehen?

8%
Ja
icon for Treffen sich Trump, Putin und Selenskyj vor 2027?

Treffen sich Trump, Putin und Selenskyj vor 2027?

8%
Ja
icon for Wird Lamar Jackson 2026 NFL MVP werden?

Wird Lamar Jackson 2026 NFL MVP werden?

12%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Friedensnobelpreisträger 2026" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 31 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Julija Nawalnaja" mit 8%, gefolgt von „Save the Children" mit 7%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 8¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 8% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Friedensnobelpreisträger 2026" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $23.8 million generiert, seit der Markt am Oct 16, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Friedensnobelpreisträger 2026" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 31 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Dies ist ein offener Markt. Der aktuelle Spitzenreiter für „Friedensnobelpreisträger 2026" ist „Julija Nawalnaja" mit nur 8%, dicht gefolgt von „Save the Children" mit 7%. Da kein Ergebnis eine starke Mehrheit hat, sehen Händler dies als hochgradig unsicher an, was einzigartige Handelsmöglichkeiten bieten kann. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert – speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Friedensnobelpreisträger 2026" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.