With no single frontrunner emerging this early in the 2027 Oscars cycle, trader sentiment shows a wide-open Best Supporting Actor field where Paul Giamatti leads at 37% implied probability for his anticipated turn in the A24 comedy The Debut, followed closely by Jesse Plemons, Channing Tatum, and Adam Scott. The clustering of top names in the low-to-mid 30s reflects uncertainty around 2026 releases still building awards momentum through festivals and reviews. Historical patterns favor established performers with strong guild and critics’ circle backing, yet late-breaking buzz from films like Digger or Artificial could shift consensus. Key catalysts ahead include fall premieres and precursor nominations that typically clarify the frontrunners.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertOscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner
Paul Giamatti 37%
Channing Tatum 31.8%
Adam Scott 31.4%
Jesse Plemons 31%

Paul Giamatti
37%

Channing Tatum
32%

Adam Scott
31%

Jesse Plemons
31%

John Goodman
30%

James Ortiz
30%

Daniel Craig
30%

Colman Domingo
30%

Robert Pattinson
28%

Jeremy Strong
28%

Riz Ahmed
28%

Robert De Niro
28%

Himesh Patel
28%

Tom Holland
27%

Sam Rockwell
27%

Steve Buscemi
27%

Travis Scott
27%

Edward Norton
-

Michael Fassbender
-

Charles Melton
30%

Miles Teller
28%
Paul Giamatti 37%
Channing Tatum 31.8%
Adam Scott 31.4%
Jesse Plemons 31%

Paul Giamatti
37%

Channing Tatum
32%

Adam Scott
31%

Jesse Plemons
31%

John Goodman
30%

James Ortiz
30%

Daniel Craig
30%

Colman Domingo
30%

Robert Pattinson
28%

Jeremy Strong
28%

Riz Ahmed
28%

Robert De Niro
28%

Himesh Patel
28%

Tom Holland
27%

Sam Rockwell
27%

Steve Buscemi
27%

Travis Scott
27%

Edward Norton
-

Michael Fassbender
-

Charles Melton
30%

Miles Teller
28%
This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...With no single frontrunner emerging this early in the 2027 Oscars cycle, trader sentiment shows a wide-open Best Supporting Actor field where Paul Giamatti leads at 37% implied probability for his anticipated turn in the A24 comedy The Debut, followed closely by Jesse Plemons, Channing Tatum, and Adam Scott. The clustering of top names in the low-to-mid 30s reflects uncertainty around 2026 releases still building awards momentum through festivals and reviews. Historical patterns favor established performers with strong guild and critics’ circle backing, yet late-breaking buzz from films like Digger or Artificial could shift consensus. Key catalysts ahead include fall premieres and precursor nominations that typically clarify the frontrunners.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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