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icon for Oscars 2027: Bester Hauptdarsteller

Oscars 2027: Bester Hauptdarsteller

icon for Oscars 2027: Bester Hauptdarsteller

Oscars 2027: Bester Hauptdarsteller

John Malkovich 31.7%

Matt Damon 27%

Andrew Scott 18%

Tom Cruise 14%

Polymarket

$117,480 Vol.

John Malkovich 31.7%

Matt Damon 27%

Andrew Scott 18%

Tom Cruise 14%

Polymarket

$117,480 Vol.

icon for John Malkovich

John Malkovich

$8,856 Vol.

32%

icon for Matt Damon

Matt Damon

$34,097 Vol.

27%

icon for Andrew Scott

Andrew Scott

$12,225 Vol.

18%

icon for Tom Cruise

Tom Cruise

$11,178 Vol.

14%

icon for Robert Pattinson

Robert Pattinson

$4,364 Vol.

9%

icon for Jeremy Strong

Jeremy Strong

$4,039 Vol.

3%

icon for Sebastian Stan

Sebastian Stan

$2,765 Vol.

2%

icon for Ryan Gosling

Ryan Gosling

$4,778 Vol.

2%

icon for Timothée Chalamet

Timothée Chalamet

$3,693 Vol.

1%

icon for Jaafar Jackson

Jaafar Jackson

$4,211 Vol.

1%

icon for Sam Rockwell

Sam Rockwell

$4,572 Vol.

1%

icon for Pedro Pascal

Pedro Pascal

$3,076 Vol.

<1%

icon for Javier Bardem

Javier Bardem

$2,900 Vol.

<1%

icon for Adam Driver

Adam Driver

$2,373 Vol.

<1%

icon for Brad Pitt

Brad Pitt

$8,112 Vol.

<1%

icon for Robert Aramayo

Robert Aramayo

$3,115 Vol.

<1%

icon for John Turturro

John Turturro

$1,587 Vol.

<1%

icon for Josh O'Connor

Josh O'Connor

$1,537 Vol.

<1%

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2027 Oscars Best Actor market remains highly fragmented this early in the 2026 film cycle, with John Malkovich holding the highest implied probability at 31.7% amid a broad field of contenders. Traders see limited momentum for any single performer because major fall releases, festival premieres, and guild precursors have yet to establish clear frontrunners or narrative arcs. Matt Damon at 26.5% and Andrew Scott at 17.5% reflect name recognition and pending projects, while lower odds for stars like Tom Cruise and Timothée Chalamet highlight the need for strong reviews, box-office results, or SAG-AFTRA and PGA support to consolidate support. Upcoming catalysts such as late-2026 festival debuts and year-end critic awards will likely sharpen the race.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.

If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$117,480
Enddatum
14. März 2027
Markt eröffnet
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2027 Oscars Best Actor market remains highly fragmented this early in the 2026 film cycle, with John Malkovich holding the highest implied probability at 31.7% amid a broad field of contenders. Traders see limited momentum for any single performer because major fall releases, festival premieres, and guild precursors have yet to establish clear frontrunners or narrative arcs. Matt Damon at 26.5% and Andrew Scott at 17.5% reflect name recognition and pending projects, while lower odds for stars like Tom Cruise and Timothée Chalamet highlight the need for strong reviews, box-office results, or SAG-AFTRA and PGA support to consolidate support. Upcoming catalysts such as late-2026 festival debuts and year-end critic awards will likely sharpen the race.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.

If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$117,480
Enddatum
14. März 2027
Markt eröffnet
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Verwandte

icon for Will Matt Damon be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

Will Matt Damon be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

88%
icon for Wird Die Odyssee bei der 99. Oscarverleihung den Preis für den besten Film gewinnen?

Wird Die Odyssee bei der 99. Oscarverleihung den Preis für den besten Film gewinnen?

50%
Ja
icon for Will Paul Giamatti win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

Will Paul Giamatti win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

52%

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Oscars 2027: Bester Hauptdarsteller" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 18 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „John Malkovich" mit 32%, gefolgt von „Matt Damon" mit 27%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 32¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 32% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Oscars 2027: Bester Hauptdarsteller" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $117.5K generiert, seit der Markt am Jul 28, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Oscars 2027: Bester Hauptdarsteller" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 18 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Oscars 2027: Bester Hauptdarsteller" ist „John Malkovich" mit 32%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 32% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Matt Damon" mit 27%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Oscars 2027: Bester Hauptdarsteller" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.