Early buzz around Martin McDonagh’s Wild Horse Nine, with its star-studded cast and September Venice premiere, has established it as the market frontrunner at 25% implied probability for Best Original Screenplay. Traders cite the writer-director’s prior Oscar success and positive early screenings as key momentum drivers. Cristian Mungiu’s Fjord and Curry Barker’s Obsession sit at 9% and 8%, respectively, reflecting auteur prestige and expected festival trajectories, while lower-odds titles like Digger, The Debut, and Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma gain traction from recent premieres or strong reviews. With most 2026 releases still months away, the 50-50 split among many longshots underscores how guild nominations, critical consensus, and late-year releases will shape voting sentiment closer to the 2027 ceremony.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertOscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner
Wild Horse Nine 32%
Fjord 10%
Obsession 8%
Digger 8%
NEU
NEU
14. März 2027
Wild Horse Nine
32%
Fjord
10%
Obsession
8%
Digger
8%
The Drama
6%
Josephine
6%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
5%
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma
5%
The Invite
5%
The Black Ball
4%
A Place in Hell
4%
The Odyssey
3%
Club Kid
3%
Elsinore
3%
Fatherland
2%
Forgotten Island
2%
The Debut
25%
Wild Horse Nine 32%
Fjord 10%
Obsession 8%
Digger 8%
NEU
NEU
14. März 2027
Wild Horse Nine
$2,302 Vol.
32%
Fjord
$43 Vol.
10%
Obsession
$111 Vol.
8%
Digger
$321 Vol.
8%
The Drama
$36 Vol.
6%
Josephine
$56 Vol.
6%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
$102 Vol.
5%
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma
$56 Vol.
5%
The Invite
$36 Vol.
5%
The Black Ball
$93 Vol.
4%
A Place in Hell
$56 Vol.
4%
The Odyssey
$56 Vol.
3%
Club Kid
$39 Vol.
3%
Elsinore
$36 Vol.
3%
Fatherland
$36 Vol.
2%
Forgotten Island
$36 Vol.
2%
The Debut
$102 Vol.
25%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early buzz around Martin McDonagh’s Wild Horse Nine, with its star-studded cast and September Venice premiere, has established it as the market frontrunner at 25% implied probability for Best Original Screenplay. Traders cite the writer-director’s prior Oscar success and positive early screenings as key momentum drivers. Cristian Mungiu’s Fjord and Curry Barker’s Obsession sit at 9% and 8%, respectively, reflecting auteur prestige and expected festival trajectories, while lower-odds titles like Digger, The Debut, and Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma gain traction from recent premieres or strong reviews. With most 2026 releases still months away, the 50-50 split among many longshots underscores how guild nominations, critical consensus, and late-year releases will shape voting sentiment closer to the 2027 ceremony.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
Volumen
$3,512Enddatum
14. März 2027Markt eröffnet
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early buzz around Martin McDonagh’s Wild Horse Nine, with its star-studded cast and September Venice premiere, has established it as the market frontrunner at 25% implied probability for Best Original Screenplay. Traders cite the writer-director’s prior Oscar success and positive early screenings as key momentum drivers. Cristian Mungiu’s Fjord and Curry Barker’s Obsession sit at 9% and 8%, respectively, reflecting auteur prestige and expected festival trajectories, while lower-odds titles like Digger, The Debut, and Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma gain traction from recent premieres or strong reviews. With most 2026 releases still months away, the 50-50 split among many longshots underscores how guild nominations, critical consensus, and late-year releases will shape voting sentiment closer to the 2027 ceremony.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$3,512Enddatum
14. März 2027Markt eröffnet
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Early buzz around Martin McDonagh’s Wild Horse Nine, with its star-studded cast and September Venice premiere, has established it as the market frontrunner at 25% implied probability for Best Original Screenplay. Traders cite the writer-director’s prior Oscar success and positive early screenings as key momentum drivers. Cristian Mungiu’s Fjord and Curry Barker’s Obsession sit at 9% and 8%, respectively, reflecting auteur prestige and expected festival trajectories, while lower-odds titles like Digger, The Debut, and Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma gain traction from recent premieres or strong reviews. With most 2026 releases still months away, the 50-50 split among many longshots underscores how guild nominations, critical consensus, and late-year releases will shape voting sentiment closer to the 2027 ceremony.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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