Latest short-range ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS indicates a modest cool anomaly for Amsterdam on July 19, with maximum temperatures most likely peaking near 18–19 °C under increased cloud cover and northeasterly flow off the cooler North Sea. This places the outcome modestly below the mid-July climatological average of 21–22 °C. Key variables driving the tight spread between 18 °C and 19 °C include uncertainty in afternoon convective cloud development and the precise timing of any weak frontal boundary, each of which can alter peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing by 1–2 °C. Recent model runs show limited spread overall, but traders are weighting the lower bins more heavily given persistent marine influence and modest forecast confidence this close to the event. Updated KNMI and high-resolution runs on July 18–19 will likely refine the final distribution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 19. Juli?
Höchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 19. Juli?
19°C 53%
20°C 45%
21°C 4.3%
22°C <1%
$33,874 Vol.
$33,874 Vol.
19. Juli 2026
15°C oder weniger
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
53%
20°C
45%
21°C
4%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C oder höher
<1%
19°C 53%
20°C 45%
21°C 4.3%
22°C <1%
$33,874 Vol.
$33,874 Vol.
19. Juli 2026
15°C oder weniger
$1,982 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,589 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$3,574 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$14,000 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$4,337 Vol.
53%
20°C
$3,601 Vol.
45%
21°C
$1,969 Vol.
4%
22°C
$1,263 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,140 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$210 Vol.
<1%
25°C oder höher
$210 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS indicates a modest cool anomaly for Amsterdam on July 19, with maximum temperatures most likely peaking near 18–19 °C under increased cloud cover and northeasterly flow off the cooler North Sea. This places the outcome modestly below the mid-July climatological average of 21–22 °C. Key variables driving the tight spread between 18 °C and 19 °C include uncertainty in afternoon convective cloud development and the precise timing of any weak frontal boundary, each of which can alter peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing by 1–2 °C. Recent model runs show limited spread overall, but traders are weighting the lower bins more heavily given persistent marine influence and modest forecast confidence this close to the event. Updated KNMI and high-resolution runs on July 18–19 will likely refine the final distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 17, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volumen
$33,874Enddatum
19. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 17, 2026, 1:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS indicates a modest cool anomaly for Amsterdam on July 19, with maximum temperatures most likely peaking near 18–19 °C under increased cloud cover and northeasterly flow off the cooler North Sea. This places the outcome modestly below the mid-July climatological average of 21–22 °C. Key variables driving the tight spread between 18 °C and 19 °C include uncertainty in afternoon convective cloud development and the precise timing of any weak frontal boundary, each of which can alter peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing by 1–2 °C. Recent model runs show limited spread overall, but traders are weighting the lower bins more heavily given persistent marine influence and modest forecast confidence this close to the event. Updated KNMI and high-resolution runs on July 18–19 will likely refine the final distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$33,874Enddatum
19. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 17, 2026, 1:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest short-range ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS indicates a modest cool anomaly for Amsterdam on July 19, with maximum temperatures most likely peaking near 18–19 °C under increased cloud cover and northeasterly flow off the cooler North Sea. This places the outcome modestly below the mid-July climatological average of 21–22 °C. Key variables driving the tight spread between 18 °C and 19 °C include uncertainty in afternoon convective cloud development and the precise timing of any weak frontal boundary, each of which can alter peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing by 1–2 °C. Recent model runs show limited spread overall, but traders are weighting the lower bins more heavily given persistent marine influence and modest forecast confidence this close to the event. Updated KNMI and high-resolution runs on July 18–19 will likely refine the final distribution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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