Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for Ankara's highest temperature reaching 13°C or higher on May 5, 2026, anchored by the latest forecast from Turkey's Meteoroloji Genel Müdürlüğü indicating a daytime maximum of exactly 13°C amid very cloudy conditions and light rain. This positioning follows an anomalous early-May cold snap, with prior days logging highs around 7–9°C well below the typical 19–20°C early-month average, but recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles signals modest recovery driven by weakening northerly winds and reduced precipitation intensity. Historical data at Ankara's Esenboğa station shows May highs rarely falling below 12°C even during cold outbreaks. Realistic challenges include persistent low cloud cover or unexpected heavy showers stifling afternoon heating, with peak temperatures typically observed between 2–5 p.m. local time; real-time observations from official stations will provide final resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Ankara on May 5?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 5?
13°C or higher 100.0%
3°C or below <1%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
$72,227 Vol.
$72,227 Vol.
5. Mai 2026
3°C or below
No
4°C
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C or higher
Yes
13°C or higher 100.0%
3°C or below <1%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
$72,227 Vol.
$72,227 Vol.
5. Mai 2026
3°C or below
$2,188 Vol.
No
4°C
$1,419 Vol.
No
5°C
$578 Vol.
No
6°C
$2,411 Vol.
No
7°C
$2,370 Vol.
No
8°C
$2,934 Vol.
No
9°C
$5,450 Vol.
No
10°C
$9,310 Vol.
No
11°C
$15,670 Vol.
No
12°C
$18,728 Vol.
No
13°C or higher
$11,169 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for Ankara's highest temperature reaching 13°C or higher on May 5, 2026, anchored by the latest forecast from Turkey's Meteoroloji Genel Müdürlüğü indicating a daytime maximum of exactly 13°C amid very cloudy conditions and light rain. This positioning follows an anomalous early-May cold snap, with prior days logging highs around 7–9°C well below the typical 19–20°C early-month average, but recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles signals modest recovery driven by weakening northerly winds and reduced precipitation intensity. Historical data at Ankara's Esenboğa station shows May highs rarely falling below 12°C even during cold outbreaks. Realistic challenges include persistent low cloud cover or unexpected heavy showers stifling afternoon heating, with peak temperatures typically observed between 2–5 p.m. local time; real-time observations from official stations will provide final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 3, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Volumen
$72,227Enddatum
5. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 3, 2026, 12:21 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for Ankara's highest temperature reaching 13°C or higher on May 5, 2026, anchored by the latest forecast from Turkey's Meteoroloji Genel Müdürlüğü indicating a daytime maximum of exactly 13°C amid very cloudy conditions and light rain. This positioning follows an anomalous early-May cold snap, with prior days logging highs around 7–9°C well below the typical 19–20°C early-month average, but recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles signals modest recovery driven by weakening northerly winds and reduced precipitation intensity. Historical data at Ankara's Esenboğa station shows May highs rarely falling below 12°C even during cold outbreaks. Realistic challenges include persistent low cloud cover or unexpected heavy showers stifling afternoon heating, with peak temperatures typically observed between 2–5 p.m. local time; real-time observations from official stations will provide final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$72,227Enddatum
5. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 3, 2026, 12:21 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for Ankara's highest temperature reaching 13°C or higher on May 5, 2026, anchored by the latest forecast from Turkey's Meteoroloji Genel Müdürlüğü indicating a daytime maximum of exactly 13°C amid very cloudy conditions and light rain. This positioning follows an anomalous early-May cold snap, with prior days logging highs around 7–9°C well below the typical 19–20°C early-month average, but recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles signals modest recovery driven by weakening northerly winds and reduced precipitation intensity. Historical data at Ankara's Esenboğa station shows May highs rarely falling below 12°C even during cold outbreaks. Realistic challenges include persistent low cloud cover or unexpected heavy showers stifling afternoon heating, with peak temperatures typically observed between 2–5 p.m. local time; real-time observations from official stations will provide final resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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