Ongoing southwest monsoon flows, reinforced by nearby Tropical Depression Henry, are the main driver keeping Manila’s July 3 high-temperature odds clustered around 30–33 °C. Scattered thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover limit solar heating, while variable convective timing and localized clearing can still allow brief spikes into the low-to-mid 30s. PAGASA’s latest guidance points to a 32 °C daytime peak with a 40 % rain chance, aligning with climatological July averages near 31 °C yet leaving room for model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed. Traders therefore assign comparable probabilities to 30–33 °C outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in exactly how much insolation will reach the surface amid the disturbed monsoon pattern.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Manila am 3. Juli?
Höchste Temperatur in Manila am 3. Juli?
35°C 100.0%
27°C oder darunter <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$68,637 Vol.
$68,637 Vol.
3. Juli 2026
27°C oder darunter
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C
Nein
32°C
Nein
33°C
Nein
34°C
Nein
35°C
Ja
36°C
Nein
37°C oder höher
Nein
35°C 100.0%
27°C oder darunter <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$68,637 Vol.
$68,637 Vol.
3. Juli 2026
27°C oder darunter
$1,401 Vol.
Nein
28°C
$4,672 Vol.
Nein
29°C
$3,711 Vol.
Nein
30°C
$3,758 Vol.
Nein
31°C
$4,685 Vol.
Nein
32°C
$10,212 Vol.
Nein
33°C
$9,835 Vol.
Nein
34°C
$8,093 Vol.
Nein
35°C
$7,085 Vol.
Ja
36°C
$7,917 Vol.
Nein
37°C oder höher
$7,268 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing southwest monsoon flows, reinforced by nearby Tropical Depression Henry, are the main driver keeping Manila’s July 3 high-temperature odds clustered around 30–33 °C. Scattered thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover limit solar heating, while variable convective timing and localized clearing can still allow brief spikes into the low-to-mid 30s. PAGASA’s latest guidance points to a 32 °C daytime peak with a 40 % rain chance, aligning with climatological July averages near 31 °C yet leaving room for model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed. Traders therefore assign comparable probabilities to 30–33 °C outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in exactly how much insolation will reach the surface amid the disturbed monsoon pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$68,637Enddatum
3. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing southwest monsoon flows, reinforced by nearby Tropical Depression Henry, are the main driver keeping Manila’s July 3 high-temperature odds clustered around 30–33 °C. Scattered thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover limit solar heating, while variable convective timing and localized clearing can still allow brief spikes into the low-to-mid 30s. PAGASA’s latest guidance points to a 32 °C daytime peak with a 40 % rain chance, aligning with climatological July averages near 31 °C yet leaving room for model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed. Traders therefore assign comparable probabilities to 30–33 °C outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in exactly how much insolation will reach the surface amid the disturbed monsoon pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$68,637Enddatum
3. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Ongoing southwest monsoon flows, reinforced by nearby Tropical Depression Henry, are the main driver keeping Manila’s July 3 high-temperature odds clustered around 30–33 °C. Scattered thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover limit solar heating, while variable convective timing and localized clearing can still allow brief spikes into the low-to-mid 30s. PAGASA’s latest guidance points to a 32 °C daytime peak with a 40 % rain chance, aligning with climatological July averages near 31 °C yet leaving room for model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed. Traders therefore assign comparable probabilities to 30–33 °C outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in exactly how much insolation will reach the surface amid the disturbed monsoon pattern.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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