Official observations from Esenboğa International Airport station (LTAC), aggregated by Wunderground from METAR reports, confirm Ankara's highest temperature on May 9 reached exactly 21°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. Persistent cloud cover, intermittent showers, and thunderstorms—forecast by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM)—suppressed daytime heating despite mild southerly flows, aligning with early May climatology where Ankara highs typically average 20-22°C amid transitional spring patterns. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified hourly data; challenges would require rare measurement revisions from primary sources, though model post-analysis and satellite imagery corroborate the cap at 21°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Ankara on May 9?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 9?
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$67,988 Vol.
$67,988 Vol.
9. Mai 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$67,988 Vol.
$67,988 Vol.
9. Mai 2026
14°C or below
$835 Vol.
No
15°C
$1,595 Vol.
No
16°C
$893 Vol.
No
17°C
$1,851 Vol.
No
18°C
$5,641 Vol.
No
19°C
$9,374 Vol.
No
20°C
$8,379 Vol.
No
21°C
$14,541 Vol.
Yes
22°C
$13,002 Vol.
No
23°C
$5,864 Vol.
No
24°C or higher
$6,013 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Esenboğa International Airport station (LTAC), aggregated by Wunderground from METAR reports, confirm Ankara's highest temperature on May 9 reached exactly 21°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. Persistent cloud cover, intermittent showers, and thunderstorms—forecast by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM)—suppressed daytime heating despite mild southerly flows, aligning with early May climatology where Ankara highs typically average 20-22°C amid transitional spring patterns. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified hourly data; challenges would require rare measurement revisions from primary sources, though model post-analysis and satellite imagery corroborate the cap at 21°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 7, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$67,988Enddatum
9. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 7, 2026, 12:07 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Esenboğa International Airport station (LTAC), aggregated by Wunderground from METAR reports, confirm Ankara's highest temperature on May 9 reached exactly 21°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. Persistent cloud cover, intermittent showers, and thunderstorms—forecast by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM)—suppressed daytime heating despite mild southerly flows, aligning with early May climatology where Ankara highs typically average 20-22°C amid transitional spring patterns. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified hourly data; challenges would require rare measurement revisions from primary sources, though model post-analysis and satellite imagery corroborate the cap at 21°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$67,988Enddatum
9. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 7, 2026, 12:07 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Official observations from Esenboğa International Airport station (LTAC), aggregated by Wunderground from METAR reports, confirm Ankara's highest temperature on May 9 reached exactly 21°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. Persistent cloud cover, intermittent showers, and thunderstorms—forecast by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM)—suppressed daytime heating despite mild southerly flows, aligning with early May climatology where Ankara highs typically average 20-22°C amid transitional spring patterns. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified hourly data; challenges would require rare measurement revisions from primary sources, though model post-analysis and satellite imagery corroborate the cap at 21°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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