Official observations from the National Weather Service (NWS) and Weather Underground confirm the highest temperature at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) on May 1, 2026, reached just 64°F—well below the May climatological normal of 83°F and ranking among the coldest May highs on record. Persistent cloud cover, light to heavy rain, and thunderstorms throughout the day suppressed solar heating and convective mixing, preventing typical diurnal warming. This observed data drives the market's 100% implied probability on "73°F or below," reflecting trader consensus on finalized automated surface observing system (ASOS) measurements. Revisions are unlikely absent equipment errors, with final NWS climate summary expected soon to lock in resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Austin am 1. Mai?
73°F oder niedriger 100.0%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$31,189 Vol.
$31,189 Vol.
73°F oder niedriger
Ja
74-75°F
Nein
76-77°F
Nein
78-79°F
Nein
80-81°F
Nein
82-83°F
Nein
84-85°F
Nein
86-87°F
Nein
88-89°F
Nein
90-91°F
Nein
92°F oder höher
Nein
73°F oder niedriger 100.0%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$31,189 Vol.
$31,189 Vol.
73°F oder niedriger
Ja
74-75°F
Nein
76-77°F
Nein
78-79°F
Nein
80-81°F
Nein
82-83°F
Nein
84-85°F
Nein
86-87°F
Nein
88-89°F
Nein
90-91°F
Nein
92°F oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 29, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Ja
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Ja
Official observations from the National Weather Service (NWS) and Weather Underground confirm the highest temperature at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) on May 1, 2026, reached just 64°F—well below the May climatological normal of 83°F and ranking among the coldest May highs on record. Persistent cloud cover, light to heavy rain, and thunderstorms throughout the day suppressed solar heating and convective mixing, preventing typical diurnal warming. This observed data drives the market's 100% implied probability on "73°F or below," reflecting trader consensus on finalized automated surface observing system (ASOS) measurements. Revisions are unlikely absent equipment errors, with final NWS climate summary expected soon to lock in resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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