**Trader sentiment clusters on 78-81°F outcomes for Miami's July 28 minimum because official guidance from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather points to overnight lows in that range under typical subtropical July conditions.** High humidity and frequent scattered thunderstorms limit radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping much below the long-term normal minimum of 78°F at Miami International Airport. Forecast models show modest spread in cloud cover and wind overnight, which can shift the exact low by a degree or two and explains why adjacent bins like 74-75°F and 82-83°F retain meaningful implied probability. With resolution based on the official station reading, traders are pricing the balance between persistent warm, moist air masses and any brief clearing that could allow slightly greater cooling.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Miami am 28. Juli?
78-79°F 100%
69°F oder darunter <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$11,613 Vol.
$11,613 Vol.
69°F oder darunter
Nein
70-71°F
Nein
72-73°F
Nein
74-75°F
Nein
76-77°F
Nein
78-79°F
Ja
80-81°F
Nein
82-83°F
Nein
84-85°F
Nein
86-87°F
Nein
88°F oder höher
Nein
78-79°F 100%
69°F oder darunter <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$11,613 Vol.
$11,613 Vol.
69°F oder darunter
Nein
70-71°F
Nein
72-73°F
Nein
74-75°F
Nein
76-77°F
Nein
78-79°F
Ja
80-81°F
Nein
82-83°F
Nein
84-85°F
Nein
86-87°F
Nein
88°F oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAAbwickler
0x69c47de9d...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAAbwickler
0x69c47de9d...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
**Trader sentiment clusters on 78-81°F outcomes for Miami's July 28 minimum because official guidance from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather points to overnight lows in that range under typical subtropical July conditions.** High humidity and frequent scattered thunderstorms limit radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping much below the long-term normal minimum of 78°F at Miami International Airport. Forecast models show modest spread in cloud cover and wind overnight, which can shift the exact low by a degree or two and explains why adjacent bins like 74-75°F and 82-83°F retain meaningful implied probability. With resolution based on the official station reading, traders are pricing the balance between persistent warm, moist air masses and any brief clearing that could allow slightly greater cooling.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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