Recent MetService and international model forecasts indicate a maximum of 12–13°C in Wellington on September 24 under clearing skies and light winds after southerly flow, with a high-pressure ridge promoting stable conditions. This underpins the closely matched trader probabilities clustered around 10–14°C, reflecting typical spring variability in the capital’s hilly terrain and exposure to changing wind directions. El Niño-driven westerlies add seasonal context but exert limited influence on this short-term window. Model consensus on minimal cloud cover and modest northerly shifts supports the current distribution, though updated runs could adjust the peak by 1–2°C depending on exact timing of clearing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wellington am 24. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Wellington am 24. September?
10°C 39%
11°C 39%
13°C 23%
14°C 22%
NEU
NEU
24. Sep. 2026
8°C oder darunter
2%
9°C
4%
10°C
39%
11°C
39%
12°C
21%
13°C
23%
14°C
22%
15°C
10%
16°C
19%
17°C
15%
18°C oder höher
2%
10°C 39%
11°C 39%
13°C 23%
14°C 22%
NEU
NEU
24. Sep. 2026
8°C oder darunter
$0 Vol.
2%
9°C
$0 Vol.
4%
10°C
$0 Vol.
39%
11°C
$0 Vol.
39%
12°C
$0 Vol.
21%
13°C
$0 Vol.
23%
14°C
$0 Vol.
22%
15°C
$0 Vol.
10%
16°C
$0 Vol.
19%
17°C
$0 Vol.
15%
18°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService and international model forecasts indicate a maximum of 12–13°C in Wellington on September 24 under clearing skies and light winds after southerly flow, with a high-pressure ridge promoting stable conditions. This underpins the closely matched trader probabilities clustered around 10–14°C, reflecting typical spring variability in the capital’s hilly terrain and exposure to changing wind directions. El Niño-driven westerlies add seasonal context but exert limited influence on this short-term window. Model consensus on minimal cloud cover and modest northerly shifts supports the current distribution, though updated runs could adjust the peak by 1–2°C depending on exact timing of clearing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
24. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService and international model forecasts indicate a maximum of 12–13°C in Wellington on September 24 under clearing skies and light winds after southerly flow, with a high-pressure ridge promoting stable conditions. This underpins the closely matched trader probabilities clustered around 10–14°C, reflecting typical spring variability in the capital’s hilly terrain and exposure to changing wind directions. El Niño-driven westerlies add seasonal context but exert limited influence on this short-term window. Model consensus on minimal cloud cover and modest northerly shifts supports the current distribution, though updated runs could adjust the peak by 1–2°C depending on exact timing of clearing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
24. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent MetService and international model forecasts indicate a maximum of 12–13°C in Wellington on September 24 under clearing skies and light winds after southerly flow, with a high-pressure ridge promoting stable conditions. This underpins the closely matched trader probabilities clustered around 10–14°C, reflecting typical spring variability in the capital’s hilly terrain and exposure to changing wind directions. El Niño-driven westerlies add seasonal context but exert limited influence on this short-term window. Model consensus on minimal cloud cover and modest northerly shifts supports the current distribution, though updated runs could adjust the peak by 1–2°C depending on exact timing of clearing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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