Recent forecasts from multiple models for Shanghai on September 22 point to a high near 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies and light northeast winds, supporting the tight market split between 28°C and 29°C. Persistent high pressure and moderate humidity around 55–65% favor gradual daytime warming without strong advection or precipitation to suppress temperatures. Subtle variations in predicted peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing explain the near-even odds, as official observations resolve to the nearest whole degree. With resolution in under 48 hours, traders are weighting the latest ensemble runs showing limited upside potential above 30°C absent clearer conditions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Shanghai am 22. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Shanghai am 22. September?
28°C 48%
29°C 42%
27°C 9%
30°C 3%
NEU
NEU
22. Sep. 2026
24°C oder niedriger
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
9%
28°C
48%
29°C
42%
30°C
3%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C oder höher
<1%
28°C 48%
29°C 42%
27°C 9%
30°C 3%
NEU
NEU
22. Sep. 2026
24°C oder niedriger
$45 Vol.
1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
2%
26°C
$125 Vol.
2%
27°C
$770 Vol.
9%
28°C
$619 Vol.
48%
29°C
$1,662 Vol.
42%
30°C
$483 Vol.
3%
31°C
$0 Vol.
2%
32°C
$0 Vol.
2%
33°C
$291 Vol.
<1%
34°C oder höher
$291 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models for Shanghai on September 22 point to a high near 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies and light northeast winds, supporting the tight market split between 28°C and 29°C. Persistent high pressure and moderate humidity around 55–65% favor gradual daytime warming without strong advection or precipitation to suppress temperatures. Subtle variations in predicted peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing explain the near-even odds, as official observations resolve to the nearest whole degree. With resolution in under 48 hours, traders are weighting the latest ensemble runs showing limited upside potential above 30°C absent clearer conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$4,287Enddatum
22. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models for Shanghai on September 22 point to a high near 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies and light northeast winds, supporting the tight market split between 28°C and 29°C. Persistent high pressure and moderate humidity around 55–65% favor gradual daytime warming without strong advection or precipitation to suppress temperatures. Subtle variations in predicted peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing explain the near-even odds, as official observations resolve to the nearest whole degree. With resolution in under 48 hours, traders are weighting the latest ensemble runs showing limited upside potential above 30°C absent clearer conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,287Enddatum
22. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models for Shanghai on September 22 point to a high near 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies and light northeast winds, supporting the tight market split between 28°C and 29°C. Persistent high pressure and moderate humidity around 55–65% favor gradual daytime warming without strong advection or precipitation to suppress temperatures. Subtle variations in predicted peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing explain the near-even odds, as official observations resolve to the nearest whole degree. With resolution in under 48 hours, traders are weighting the latest ensemble runs showing limited upside potential above 30°C absent clearer conditions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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