Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international outlets currently indicate a high near 26–28°C for Qingdao on September 20 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds shifting northerly, consistent with late-summer maritime moderation along the Yellow Sea coast. Ensemble spread and minor model disagreements on cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing create the observed tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28–31°C, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes below 27°C or above 32°C. Historical September averages near 26°C provide context, while the two-day lead time leaves room for last-minute adjustments from updated runs or local observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Qingdao am 20. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Qingdao am 20. September?
31°C 40%
30°C 22%
32°C oder höher 21.0%
29°C 16%
NEU
NEU
20. Sep. 2026
22°C oder weniger
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
3%
28°C
14%
29°C
16%
30°C
22%
31°C
23%
32°C oder höher
12%
31°C 40%
30°C 22%
32°C oder höher 21.0%
29°C 16%
NEU
NEU
20. Sep. 2026
22°C oder weniger
$0 Vol.
1%
23°C
$0 Vol.
1%
24°C
$0 Vol.
1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
2%
26°C
$0 Vol.
5%
27°C
$5 Vol.
3%
28°C
$57 Vol.
14%
29°C
$0 Vol.
16%
30°C
$0 Vol.
22%
31°C
$8 Vol.
23%
32°C oder höher
$55 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international outlets currently indicate a high near 26–28°C for Qingdao on September 20 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds shifting northerly, consistent with late-summer maritime moderation along the Yellow Sea coast. Ensemble spread and minor model disagreements on cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing create the observed tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28–31°C, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes below 27°C or above 32°C. Historical September averages near 26°C provide context, while the two-day lead time leaves room for last-minute adjustments from updated runs or local observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volumen
$124Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international outlets currently indicate a high near 26–28°C for Qingdao on September 20 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds shifting northerly, consistent with late-summer maritime moderation along the Yellow Sea coast. Ensemble spread and minor model disagreements on cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing create the observed tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28–31°C, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes below 27°C or above 32°C. Historical September averages near 26°C provide context, while the two-day lead time leaves room for last-minute adjustments from updated runs or local observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$124Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international outlets currently indicate a high near 26–28°C for Qingdao on September 20 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds shifting northerly, consistent with late-summer maritime moderation along the Yellow Sea coast. Ensemble spread and minor model disagreements on cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing create the observed tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28–31°C, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes below 27°C or above 32°C. Historical September averages near 26°C provide context, while the two-day lead time leaves room for last-minute adjustments from updated runs or local observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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