Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a Friday high near 28–29°C under increasing cloud cover with a modest chance of light rain or drizzle, keeping outcomes tightly clustered. Variable afternoon insolation, influenced by southeast-to-northeast wind shifts and boundary-layer moisture, creates small but decisive differences among the 26–32°C range; clearer breaks could allow brief warming while thicker clouds or showers would suppress the peak. This setup aligns with late-September transitional patterns, where Beijing’s urban heat island interacts with weakening summer monsoon flow. Updated CMA guidance and afternoon model runs on the 17th will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Peking am 18. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Peking am 18. September?
30°C 31%
29°C 30%
28°C 24%
27°C 18%
NEU
NEU
18. Sep. 2026
23°C oder niedriger
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
4%
26°C
9%
27°C
18%
28°C
24%
29°C
30%
30°C
31%
31°C
8%
32°C
2%
33°C oder höher
<1%
30°C 31%
29°C 30%
28°C 24%
27°C 18%
NEU
NEU
18. Sep. 2026
23°C oder niedriger
$0 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$0 Vol.
4%
25°C
$0 Vol.
4%
26°C
$10 Vol.
9%
27°C
$0 Vol.
18%
28°C
$0 Vol.
24%
29°C
$0 Vol.
30%
30°C
$5 Vol.
31%
31°C
$10 Vol.
8%
32°C
$8 Vol.
2%
33°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a Friday high near 28–29°C under increasing cloud cover with a modest chance of light rain or drizzle, keeping outcomes tightly clustered. Variable afternoon insolation, influenced by southeast-to-northeast wind shifts and boundary-layer moisture, creates small but decisive differences among the 26–32°C range; clearer breaks could allow brief warming while thicker clouds or showers would suppress the peak. This setup aligns with late-September transitional patterns, where Beijing’s urban heat island interacts with weakening summer monsoon flow. Updated CMA guidance and afternoon model runs on the 17th will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$33Enddatum
18. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a Friday high near 28–29°C under increasing cloud cover with a modest chance of light rain or drizzle, keeping outcomes tightly clustered. Variable afternoon insolation, influenced by southeast-to-northeast wind shifts and boundary-layer moisture, creates small but decisive differences among the 26–32°C range; clearer breaks could allow brief warming while thicker clouds or showers would suppress the peak. This setup aligns with late-September transitional patterns, where Beijing’s urban heat island interacts with weakening summer monsoon flow. Updated CMA guidance and afternoon model runs on the 17th will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$33Enddatum
18. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a Friday high near 28–29°C under increasing cloud cover with a modest chance of light rain or drizzle, keeping outcomes tightly clustered. Variable afternoon insolation, influenced by southeast-to-northeast wind shifts and boundary-layer moisture, creates small but decisive differences among the 26–32°C range; clearer breaks could allow brief warming while thicker clouds or showers would suppress the peak. This setup aligns with late-September transitional patterns, where Beijing’s urban heat island interacts with weakening summer monsoon flow. Updated CMA guidance and afternoon model runs on the 17th will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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