Recent GFS and ECMWF model runs for September 16 in Manila indicate afternoon convection and widespread cloud cover from the southwest monsoon will likely cap daytime heating, producing maximum temperatures in the low 30s Celsius amid high humidity and light winds. Trader emphasis on 32–33 °C outcomes reflects model spread in thunderstorm timing and coverage; earlier or weaker rain allows brief clear periods that push readings higher, while heavier or earlier precipitation keeps values nearer 30–31 °C. These short-range forecasts carry typical uncertainty ranges of 1–2 °C tied to mesoscale convective development, with official PAGASA updates and next model cycles expected to refine the range before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Manila am 16. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Manila am 16. September?
33°C 39%
32°C 31%
31°C 14%
29°C 12%
NEU
NEU
16. Sep. 2026
26°C oder darunter
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
10%
29°C
12%
30°C
5%
31°C
14%
32°C
31%
33°C
39%
34°C
10%
35°C
8%
36°C oder höher
2%
33°C 39%
32°C 31%
31°C 14%
29°C 12%
NEU
NEU
16. Sep. 2026
26°C oder darunter
$0 Vol.
2%
27°C
$0 Vol.
2%
28°C
$0 Vol.
10%
29°C
$0 Vol.
12%
30°C
$0 Vol.
5%
31°C
$0 Vol.
14%
32°C
$20 Vol.
31%
33°C
$709 Vol.
39%
34°C
$0 Vol.
10%
35°C
$0 Vol.
8%
36°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent GFS and ECMWF model runs for September 16 in Manila indicate afternoon convection and widespread cloud cover from the southwest monsoon will likely cap daytime heating, producing maximum temperatures in the low 30s Celsius amid high humidity and light winds. Trader emphasis on 32–33 °C outcomes reflects model spread in thunderstorm timing and coverage; earlier or weaker rain allows brief clear periods that push readings higher, while heavier or earlier precipitation keeps values nearer 30–31 °C. These short-range forecasts carry typical uncertainty ranges of 1–2 °C tied to mesoscale convective development, with official PAGASA updates and next model cycles expected to refine the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$729Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent GFS and ECMWF model runs for September 16 in Manila indicate afternoon convection and widespread cloud cover from the southwest monsoon will likely cap daytime heating, producing maximum temperatures in the low 30s Celsius amid high humidity and light winds. Trader emphasis on 32–33 °C outcomes reflects model spread in thunderstorm timing and coverage; earlier or weaker rain allows brief clear periods that push readings higher, while heavier or earlier precipitation keeps values nearer 30–31 °C. These short-range forecasts carry typical uncertainty ranges of 1–2 °C tied to mesoscale convective development, with official PAGASA updates and next model cycles expected to refine the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$729Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent GFS and ECMWF model runs for September 16 in Manila indicate afternoon convection and widespread cloud cover from the southwest monsoon will likely cap daytime heating, producing maximum temperatures in the low 30s Celsius amid high humidity and light winds. Trader emphasis on 32–33 °C outcomes reflects model spread in thunderstorm timing and coverage; earlier or weaker rain allows brief clear periods that push readings higher, while heavier or earlier precipitation keeps values nearer 30–31 °C. These short-range forecasts carry typical uncertainty ranges of 1–2 °C tied to mesoscale convective development, with official PAGASA updates and next model cycles expected to refine the range before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen